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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for July 10, 2021

Horse Racing Radar
Rich Bieglmeier
Rich Bieglmeier is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Saturday, July 10, 2021

The race nearly shares the same birthday as the track itself. The Delaware Handicap, known as the New Castle Handicap at the time, was part of the calendar the year the track opened in 1937. Track locals call it the Del-Cap.

Seven fillies and mares will chase a $400,000 for 1 ¼ miles to get their share of the prize money. Shawn and Rich, from the Player's Edge Podcast enlisted some inside help from Tom, from Tom and Tom racing, to breakdown the Delaware Handicap in detail:

10-year Profile of a Del Cap Winner

·       7 of the last 10 winners were the favorite, another 2 favorites ran second

·       Heavy Favorites at that – the average winner went off at odds of 4/5

·       Slight early speed edge with 6 of the last 10 DP Handicap Champs in the first three at the first call

·       No Post Bias as every post from 1 through 7, except for the 2 has scored in the last decade.

·       Solid form: 8 of the last 10 to collect the hardware hit triple-digits on the speed gun in the previous start and 9 of 10 went a hundo or more in 2 races back.

·       6 winners won their prior start and another 2 finished second

Tom, who is a Delaware Park liaison at is on the grounds for race days says speed has not been the way at Delaware during the current meet and inside is best. He notes that nobody wants the lead and times are slow, super slow this year at DP as a result. Keep that in mind as you arrange your tickets.

Pace always makes race and here are our early and late pace projections.


Shawn, Tom and Rich agree on the horses that will make up the superfecta, the order is the only question. The trio have QUEEN NEKIA (PP: 2 ML 3-1), DREAM MARIE (PP: 3 ML 4-1), BONNY SOUTH (PP: 5 ML 3/2) and MISS MARISSA (PP: 6 ML 6-1) in their top four selections.

Shawn and Rich see the morning-line favorite, BONNY SOUTH, continuing the low-price trend for champs. Meanwhile, Tom points to MISS MARISSA getting the better of today's chalk, winning last-year's, COVID delayed Black Eyed Susan by a neck over BONNY SOUTH at Pimlico last October. Tom and Tom is looking for a break from the decade long trend and a price at the top of his ticket.

Track conditions could play a role in the outcome of the 2021 Delaware Handicap as the area got plenty of rain from the remnants of Elsa. Horseplayers would be wise to pay attention to the early races to see if the track bias plays the same following all the wetness.

For all the details, checkout the detailed Delaware Handicap preview with Tom, Shawn and Rich.

 

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