40 to 1 Tom's International Tips
6½f (6f63y) Jebel Ali Racecourse and Stables Anglesey Stakes (Group 3) (2yo) Track Rating is: Good
2 – Draw 5 - Beauty Inspire – maiden winner in his only race was impressive. Ran green in opening stages tucked in with cover, pulled down to the rail and ran off by willing. All with hand ride. The dam has produced one other winner. He won at 7 furlongs. Appears to be a sprinter, so this race suits.
4 – Draw 2 - Hadman – last 2 races were win in maiden and a restricted Irish Incentive race. It was a good win, sitting on the front end and ridden harder with 1 furlong to go. The comment was always doing enough. He appears to have benefitted from this effort and will have a spot in this race.
6 – Draw 1 – Daisy Peers
5f Paddy Power Sapphire Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+)
7 – Draw 2 - Measure of Magic – ran at Ascot in group 1 company finishing third and was not close to the top 2 horses. Since, the second placed horse (via stewards' disqualification) finished second in the July Cup. He had a good race running midpack and went to third with 1 furlong to run. The heavy going may have been a factor because his 2 other runs in 2021 were wins over a good track. This is a much better spot for him.
6 – Draw 1 – Logo Hunter – winner of his last 2 races now steps up big from listed company. His won 4 out of 8 races on both all-weather and turf at 5 and 6 furlongs. In form but a big test to see if he belongs in group company.
1m4f Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Group 1) (3yo)
7 – Draw 1 - Snowfall – it's hard to pick anyone else other than Snowfall to win here. A 16-length winner in the Epson Oaks last out and beating horses that have won since. It was an impressive run. She's run 2 times this year and won both. In her 2-year-old runs, the distances were too short. She's by a dam who won only at distances (never ran in a race less than 1 mile) and this is the first foal. If she has fallen out of form than who can win?
8 – Draw 8 - Willow – dead last in the Epson Oaks and then wins a listed race at Naas. One of the next out winners from the race. She did enough to win in that race. Can she beat the top horse? I doubt it but she can get a placing.
6 – Draw 7 - Party House – I am going to excuse her last race (winner was Willow) because turning for home, she almost fell (according to the jockey). Recovered to finish in sixth. Her 2 races before were both at distance in maiden and listed company and she won her maiden at 10 furlongs and finished third in the listed race and the comment was she didn't finish. She's had 3 races in career starting in April so she's still in the learning process.
7f Romanised Minstrel Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+)
6 – Draw 4 - Military Style – winner of 2 of 4 races at both 6 and 7 furlongs in group 3 company last year. Now first start of the year, facing group 2 company, he should be ready. Aiden O'Brien placed this horse in the right spot facing a ok much. If can run back to form on last year, he wins
5 – Draw 5 - Ace Aussie – good, useful race last out as the favorite. Why, well he ran midpack early in the race, move at the 3-furlong maker getting to second. He lost second in the final strides. Jockey comment was the horse hung a bit late in the race. The winner ran at Leopardstown on Thursday in group 3. I think the 7-furlong distance is more suited for this horse. His prior race, he finished second to Poetic Flare (easy Royal Ascot winner) at 7 furlongs. This was a listed race and he dwelt at the start. He was up for second in the final strides.
1 – Draw 8 - Order of Australia – Breeder's Cup winner who is running at 7 furlongs for the first time. Why? He did not running at all last out at Royal Ascot group 1 for his first start of the year. He's a winner at distances of 1 mile or greater. Do they think he maybe a sprinter or is a prep for a future race? I am not sure what to make of this move by Aiden O'Brien.
1m1f Kilboy Estate Stakes (Group 2) (3yo+)
5 – Draw 2 - Create Belief – winner of the last 2 races including a handicap at Royal Ascot. She run on one stinker in April (close up and pushed at 3 furlongs and nothing). This is a step up for her, but this was in the mind of Johnny Murtagh before the Ascot run. A good place to get the third win in a row. My question is if she like the good going? Her wins are on soft to heavy going. Disclosure – I own 2 microshares in this horse.
8 – Draw 7 - Oodnadatta – first start of the year vs older horses in a group 1 running against Thundering Nights and Santa Barbara. What a tough spot to start the year. She not surprisingly finished last. Now facing 3-year old's, she should have a better run. They thought enough of her to run her in the Breeders Cup (did nothing). Running on good tracks, she should be better here. Only a maiden winner.
1 – Draw 3 – Angel Power
2 - Beauty Inspire
3 - Celtic Times
4 - Hadman
5 - The Entertainer
7 - Measure of Magic
6 - Logo Hunter
8 - Mooneista
4 - Romantic Proposal
2 - Divinely
7 - Snowfall
5 - Nicest
3 - La Joconde
5 - Ace Aussie
1 - Order of Australia
2 - Current Option
3 – Njord
Kilboy Estate Stakes
3 - Insinuendo
1 - Angel Power
5 - Create Belief
4 - April Showers