HRR

The Belmont Futurity to Breeders' Cup Consensus

Horse Racing Radar
Rich Bieglmeier
Rich Bieglmeier is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Sunday, October 11, 2020

The Futurity Stakes at Belmont Park on Sunday is the last "win and you're in" Breeders' Cup Challenge Series race. Before you know it, the Futurity champ will be racing in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint.

We believe MOMOS (PP: 9 ML 7/2) will hit the wire first in race seven and keep on running to Lexington Kentucky to compete for her share of the $1 million purse. The two-year-old tied for the highest, last race speed figure and will try turf for first time. Trainer Christophe Clement hits at 19% with first time grass starters.

Along with our choice, we decided to look around the internet to see who other Belmont handicappers see winning the Futurity.

Andy Sterling of NYRA.com lists COUNTRY FINAL (PP: 8 ML 6-1) as his top choice followed by AFTER FIVE (PP:2 ML 3-1), TRADE DEAL (PP: 10 ML 4-1) and GYPSY KING (PP: 11 ML 12-1).

David Aragona, also from NYRA in the timeforums blog sees AFTER FIVE taking the checkered flag with COUNTRY FINAL collecting paly money, MOMOS getting the show dough and TRADE DEAL finishing up the superfecta.

Steve Matthews from Newsday has a completely different take on the race, "SECOND OF JULY (PP:3 ML 12-1) notched a solid late-pace figure when a determined winner in debut; keeps on giving. NEWBOMB (PP: 4 ML 8-1) displayed sizzling speed in debut on dirt; big-time, front-running danger on turf. COUNTRY FINAL also is quick from gate and could prove very tough if able to shake clear."

They also like MOMOS on top at Guaranteed Tip Sheet, as "SECOND OF JULY won his debut as a longshot at the track/distance/surface. TRADE DEAL is ¾ lengths from being undefeated in two starts. AFTER FIVE missed in his debut by a nose to TRADE DEAL, the extra ½ furlong could help."

Using the old fashioned, newspaper way of building consensus picks...

  • 5 points for first place
  • 3 points for second place
  • 1 point for third place

... we come to the following rankings based on the top three choices for our list of Belmont Park handicapping experts.

#8 COUNTRY FINAL – 9 points (1 win, 1 second, 1 third)
#2 AFTER FIVE and #3 SECOND OF JULY - tie for second and third with 8 points (1 win and 1 second each)
#9 MOMOS – 6 points (1 win and a 1 third)
#4 NEWBOMB – 3 points (1 second)
#10 TRADE DEAL – 2 points (2 thirds)

Horseplayers that want to build their tickets based on the consensus might consider boxing the 2,3 and 8 for their exactas and trifectas. Or, putting all the winning selections in your exotic tickets i.e. 2,3,8 and 9 exacta and trifecta boxes. Another angle would be to wheel the 8 with the 2,3,9 for your exactas and trifectas.

However it plays out, you'll get another shot at the winner in the $1 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint at Keeneland Racetrack on Friday, November 6, 2020. 

Get today's full picks for all tracks and races at Guaranteed Tip Sheet.