Favorites Established for the Breeders Cup Classic

Horse Racing Radar
Valerie Mellema
Valerie Mellema is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Thursday, October 15, 2020

The Thoroughbred racehorse experts have spoken and the prerace favorites for the Breeders' Cup $6 million Longines Classic have been named. Ten horses have been rated for the premier race in the Breeders' Cup Championship Series, to be held at Keeneland Park in Lexington, Kentucky, on November 7.


Results of the pundit opinions read much like a college football poll. Each handicapper gave a certain number of points to each horse and also selected the horse most likely to win the race. Thus there are a total of 34 first-place votes.


The most highly regarded horse, as reflected through this process, is IMPROBABLE, gaining more than half the first-place votes with 18 and a grand total of 317 points. The four-year-old colt, trained by Bob Baffert, finished his 2020 racing campaign with a victory in the Awesome Again Stakes in Santa Anita.


Next in line among the pollsters is TOM'S D'ETAT with six first-place votes and 263 total votes. Winner of the Oaklawn and Stephen Foster Stakes, TOM'S D'ETAT previously held the highest weekly ranking before IMPROBABLE's victory at Santa Anita.


Third is the hard-luck colt MAXIMUM SECURITY, who won the 2019 Kentucky Derby—only to be disqualified—and the $10 million Saudi Cup—the prize money for which is tied up in ongoing investigations—and then finished second to IMPROBABLE, his stablemate in the Awesome Again Stakes. Five first-place votes and 257 votes total fell to MAXIMUM SECURITY.


The other horse with multiple first-place votes is the highly regarded TIZ THE LAW (pictured at top working at Belmont), with three first-place nods and 227 total points. The colt won both the Triple Crown's Belmont Stakes and the Travers Stakes this year, two Grade I races.


Only two other horses received first-place votes. With 204 total votes, Preakness winner AUTHENTIC has one first-place vote but came in 5th in the standings. Sixth in the standings, with a single first-place vote, was BY MY STANDARDS, a four-year-old who won four of six starts in 2020.


An underdog and positioned exactly where she'd like to be is the filly SWISS SKYDIVER, who received 130 nods but no first-place votes. On several prior occasions, even running against male horses, while the horse has been a significant underdog, she has come on strong to win.


Also included in the ratings were HAPPY SAVER with 84 votes, GLOBAL CAMPAIGN with 82, and CODE OF HONOR with 51.

Get today's full picks for all tracks and races at Guaranteed Tip Sheet.