HRR

BC Challenge Series The Fourstardave Preview

Horse Racing Radar
Rich Bieglmeier
Rich Bieglmeier is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Saturday, August 14, 2021

 The Profile of the last 10 Fourstardave Winners

The favorite has not won in the last seven years. In fact, the post time choice has run off the board in four of the last seven. Since 2014, the average winner went off at 5-1 odds.

WISE DAN was the last chalk to claim the Fourstardave hardware in 2013 and 2012. 

Recent form isn't required as only three of the last 10 Fourstardave Champs won their prior start with the average non-winning effort coming home third. However, all of the last 10 to win scored a W in at least one of the three races leading into the Fourstardave.

Triple Digits Required: Nine of the last 10 to hit the Fourstardave finish line first hit at least 100 on Equibase's speed gun in the three races before the Fourstardave, most going over 110.

RAGING BULL
DADDY IS A LEGEND
SET PIECE
FIELD PASS
BLOWOUT

Satisfy the three, triple-digit threshold.

Inside out: The last five winners came from posts five (2x) and six (3x). In the previous four, the inside two gates won a pair each and 10-years ago the five visited the winners' circle.

Pace: 100% of the past 10 winners were in the first four to hit the quarter-pole.

First: 3
Second: 1
Third: 4
Fourth: 2

Current Saratoga Meet, 1 Mile Inner Turf Post and First Call Win Rates:


Projected Early and Late Pace:

Projected Finish and our Pro Member's Bonus Commentary:

SET PIECE is coming off a short rest with a bullet work at Saratoga, should be ready. RAGING BULL missed as the chalk in his last, trainer Chad Brown rebounds at 27% with beaten favorites. BLOWOUT in no more than ¾ lengths from winning 10 in a row. CASA CREED has a win and a third in two at the SPA.


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