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International Horse Racing Tips – Saturday, Septem

Horse Racing Radar
Thomas Deimel
Thomas Deimel is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Friday, September 17, 2021

Saturday, September 18th 

Newbury – Race 3 – 2:15p

5f (5f34y) Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3yo+) 

5 - Moss Gill – Draw 2

·        Overmatched in group 1 last out – strong field at York

·        2 second place finishes and one vs Winter Power in listed races

·        Trainer has 2 wins from 7 runs in last 14 days (29%)

·        5-furlong races are the only one's his won during racing career

·        Negative – hasn't won since last year 

8 - Tis Marvelious – Draw 1

·        2 good wins in listed and handicap races, going for number 3 in a row

·        In his last win, the comment "comfortably", he was pushed with 2 furlongs left and responded nicely

·        7-year-old going well, why not try a group 3 race, never won a group race

·        Getting better with age? 

3 - King's Lynn – Draw 6

·        2 races at 6 furlongs have not suited the horse but he won his one try at 7 furlongs

·        In 2021, he has won 1 and placed 3 times

·        He 2 out of the money finishes are in group races, breakthrough here?

·        He was gelded at the end of 2020 but only ran 3 times with 2 second finishes

 

Newbury

6f Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2yo) 

7 – Maglev – Draw 4

·        Good effort finishing second at 7 furlongs in last handicap race, also was the favorite

·        Drops back to winning distance at York

·        Chester race, favorite and only face 2 other horses. Jockeys race because the winner made all the running, and this horse was moving fine but couldn't catch the winner 

4 – Gubbass – Draw 6

·        Wins first 2 races and then tries group 1 and 2 company

·        Ok vs group 2 with a third and then

·        Shipped to France with a disappointing fifth losing to Perfect Power, Armor (favorite) and Asymmetric

·        Return to winning form here? 

8 – Manaccan – Draw 2

·        Winner for the first time last out

·        2 tries before to break maiden resulted in a 4th and 3rd finishes

·        Trainer switched riders for first 2 races to William Buick

·        William Buick returns to ride

·        Maybe one of those developing 2 year olds?

 

AYR – Going is: Good to Firm

Virgin Bet Ayr Gold Cup Handicap (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (3yo+) 6f 

14 – Mr Wagyu – Draw 16

·        Wants to run on the front end

·        Tried in last race and was headed 3 furlongs out but keep on until the end

·        Faced better than average class 2 horse in last

·        The winner of last race is running at Newbury on Saturday in a 5 furlong group 3 race – Hurricane Ivor

·        Better at 6 furlongs - 50 runs 13 wins 14 placings and 7 of those wins were on good to firm

·        Jason Hart has won 9 times with this horse 

9 – Fivethousandtoone – Draw 6

·        Short field race in last as prominent, led with groups merged, pushed with 2 furlongs to go and headed in final furlong weakened after that. Lost a shoe during the running, left fore shoe. Useful race overall? Maybe

·        Winner is in this race and one of the favorites

·        Been facing much better overall in group 1, 2 and listed races

·        Wish his run at Haydock was better vs class 3 horses

·        The comment "raced awkwardly" between 3 and 2 furlongs in the running. Winner is a group winner, and that was a 7 furlong race.

·        Better spot but only win is on the all-weather

·        Price! 

3 – Commanche Falls -Draw 2

·        Coming off 2 wins at distance

·        Goodwood win in class 2 handicap vs 23 horses at 10-1

·        Strong race at Hamilton in Class 2 handicap vs 11 rivals best rated race of the season

·        Overall good season with 4 wins from 6 starts in class 2 or 3 races

·        Career races 18 starts with 8 wins and no other placings. Either he wins or doesn't do anything elses

·        Maybe a placing this time because of the terrible draw? 

 

AustraliaCaulfield – Track rated: Good 4 with rain expected

Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Group1 

1 – Behemoth

·        Done nothing wrong with season, 2 wins in group 1 and group 3 company

·        Some issues in middle of last race, having to be steady

·        3 wins and 1 placings from 7 starts at group 1 level

·        Getting better at age 6? 

7 – Sierra Sue

·        Forgive last, slow and the 1600m didn't suit her at Moonee Valley

·        Won 2 prior races at 1400m

·        Record at 1400m is 4 wins from 6 starts (no placings)

·        Has won here once before at the distance vs group 2 horses

·        Weight advantage over top choice 

6 – Buffalo River

·        Coming back from layoff of 5 months plus but

·        First race after layoff, he has won twice and 3 seconds from 6 layoffs

·        Hasn't won since May 2020

·        Distance record is 10 starts 5 wins 4 seconds and 1 third

·        Career running – 18 starts 6 wins 5 seconds and 3 thirds

·        In the money, yes. Win? Maybe next time?

 

Australia Randwick – Track Rated: Soft 6

George Main Stakes Group1 

7 – Verry Elleegant

·        Needed first race of the season after layoff

·        6 starts and 3 wins on her second start of the season

·        Raced keenly in last without cover and finished a good second

·        Favorite – one to beat with second race off layoff

·        Negative – this may not be her best distance 

5 – Riodini

·        4 races since July and her best race was her last race with a good second vs group 2 runners

·        Never won at 1600m but has started 5 times and finished second twice and third twice

·        Hasn't won in a while since 2019 but gets a paid check

·        Soft going – 3 starts 3 wins

·        I like her for a placing. Win would be a surprised and a price too 

6 – Lion's Roar

·        Needed first start of season and got a wide draw which didn't help either

·        A group 1 winner at distance over the track

·        Is 2 for 2 at the distance

·        Overall record is 11 starts 4 wins 2 seconds and 1 third

·        He's always close but in his races except for the last one

 

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