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International Horse Racing Picks October 3, 2021

Horse Racing Radar
Thomas Deimel
Thomas Deimel is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Friday, October 1, 2021

Track Condition - Very Soft – Raining in Paris 

1:15

Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium des Pouliches (Group 1) (2yo Fillies) (Grande Course) (Turf) (2yo) 1m ITV 

6 – Acer Alley – Draw 7

·         2 wins from 3 races

·         Last race at the track running 7 furlongs on good to soft going group 3 vs males

·         Sat back in last race, move at 1 ½ out and finished very strong

·         Should like the soft going, won on heavy going

·         Dam has produced 4 foals, and all have won. One is Digital Age trained by Chad Brown and grade 1 winner at 1 mile plus races. 

9 – Who Knows – Draw 6

·         Won last by make all the running and responded when challenged and held on in group 3

·         4 starts 2 wins and 2 fourths

·         Will be on the lead and has handled soft going, advantage on the front end?

·         Dam has produced 4 foals, all have won and 2 others are stakes winner. They have all won at distances 1 mile or greater 

1 – Raclette – Draw 2

·         Winner last out a 1 mile in condition race at Chantilly over soft ground

·         Her other win was also over soft going and this was a race for horses that have never run in a race

·         Favorite in this race

·         Maxime Guyon to ride again

·         Dam was a grade 1 winner at Santa Anita over 1 mile and her 3 foals to race, all winners.

·         Sire is Frankel, top producer in the world and a pretty good racehorse 

 

1:55

Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Grand Criterium) (Group 1) (2yo No Geldings) (New Course) (Turf) (2yo) 7f ITV 

9 – Accakaba – Draw 5

·         Undefeated in 4 races

·         Step up in class last out in group 3 and really ran a wonderful race

·         Sat back, moved around 2 furlong and won ridden out

·         First 3 races were at La Teste De Buch, a smaller race located in southwestern France on the coast (nice beaches)

·         Dam won at shorter distances (6 furlongs), and this is her first foal to race

·         Sire has mainly produced sprinters

·         Now, let's see if a group 1 company race is within his abilities 

7 – Racchigiani – Draw 4

·         2 races 2 wins in Germany

·         Group 3 winners at Baden-Baden on good to soft going

·         Time of the running is good to very good for 2-year-olds on the going

·         Dam has produced 6 runners 5 are winners and 2 are stakes winners

·         They are winner at 6 furlongs to 1-mile races

·         Sire was more useful at races over 1 mile and ran in England and US group 2 winner and grade/group 1 placed. 

1 – Erbo River – Draw 2

·         Third last out at the Curragh in group 1 losing by 4 lengths

·         Winner in group 1 race before at 12-1 was his best race

·         Has raced "green" in some of his races and like to hang left

·         Should be sitting midpack making it to the leaders between the 2- and 1-furlong maker

·         Dam has produced 3 foals with 2 winners but only winning at distance 6 furlongs

·         Sire was a miler, won at Royal Ascot and liked the soft going

 

3:05 – Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe Group 1 – 1 ½ miles on the Grande Course. This in the 100th running of the best race in Europe. 

Chrono Genesis

·         Group 1 winner in Japan

·         Ran second to Mishriff in Dubai, lost by a neck

·         Faced Almond Eye in November 2020 and lost by ¾ of a length

·         13 starts 6 wins 3 seconds and 3 thirds

·         Layoffs are the normal for her and this has been the target for her this season

·         A winner on firm to yielding goings

·         Leading English rider Ossin Murphy on board for the first time 

Snowfall

·         Didn't get going until it was too late in her last race, missing by 1 ½ length to Teona

·         Won her first 4 races of 2021 by a total of 32 lengths at group 3 or group 1 races

·         Ryan Moore returns to ride

·         Not nominated to this race because of her poor running's as a 2-year-old so she had to be supplemented into this race

·         Winner on good to good to soft running's 

Hurricane Lane

·         Last 6 races 5 wins vs group 1 or group 2 company (three-year-olds only)

·         One bad race? Third in the English Derby

·         Jockey switch, from William Buick to James Doyle. Buick rides the favorite Adayar yet another Godolphin horse

·         Soft going maybe a question mark

·         Could he win? Absolutely   

 

3:50

Prix de l'Opera Longines (Group 1) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Grande Course) (Turf) (3yo+) 1m2f SKY 

10 – Babylone – Draw 1

·         Toss last race, raced widest of all, showed little on soft going, awful

·         Won 2 previous races with the including group 2 race on very soft going

·         Change of jockey to William Buick

·         6 starts 3 wins 1 placing

·         Andre Fabre trained

·         Big odds 

1 – Grand Glory – Draw 7

·         2 terrific races beating Aurdarya (Breeders Cup winner) last out by a head

·         Moved at the right time, taking the lead and held off the second horse

·         Only one stinker this year, finishing last in group 3 at ParisLongchamp

·         Has won on good to soft to heavy tracks

·         Getting better with age? 5 year this season is 2 wins 1 second and 1 third from 6 races

·         Pickups Frankie Dettori 

3 – Thundering Nights – Draw 6

·         Ok race last out running vs the fast improving Le Petite Coco and Love ran second

·         Has been travel around this season with races in France, US and Ireland

·         Group 1 winner at Curragh vs Santa Barbara (who had to be put down recently)

·         5 starts 1 win 4 placings

·         This race is a class drop for her and she should far better vs this group

 

4:25

Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1) (2yo+) (Sprint Course) (Turf) (2yo+) 5f SK 

15 – Suesa – Draw 12

·         Her last race, she was short of room when pushed at 2 furlongs and was never going to get to the winner

·         Off since August to prepare for this race – was this the her target all along?

·         Can win on heavy going but ran an questionable race at Royal Ascot on soft ground

·         7 starts 5 wins and no placings. She will win or be out of the money by her current racing pattern

·         She is undefeated in France with all her races at Chantilly

·         Still not a group 1 winner

·         Oilvier Peslier returns to ride 

13 – Winter Power – Draw 8

·         Which Winter Power will show up today?

·         Toss last, awkward start rushed up and then nothing left to finish

·         She did a similar race at Royal Ascot, running freely early and just was out of gas at the end.

·         Her other races this year, she's won 3 wins beating top horses including Emaraaty Ana, Dragon Symbol and Susea group 1

·         Won listed race on the soft going

·         If she going to win, she needs to be on the lead and dictating the pace 

9 – Glass Slipper – Draw 9

·         2 runs 2 thirds vs top company including some of her rivals today

·         She has taken some time in the past to get going, is this her race?

·         Breeder's Cup Turf Sprint winner last year

·         Her distance is 5 furlongs with 7 starts 2 wins 2 second and 3 thirds

·         Ran second in this race last year on her way to Keeneland on heavy going

·         Prep for the Breeder's Cup? Likes firm surface best 

 

5:00

Qatar Prix de la Foret (Group 1) (3yo+) (New Course) (Turf) (3yo+) 7f SKY 

11 – Sagamiyra – Draw 15

·         Winner last time in group 3 at ParisLongchamp

·         Made the lead and the runner up keep trying and failed to get to the leader

·         At Deauville, she lost to Mother Earth by a head in group 1

·         This year, 5 starts 3 wins and 2 seconds with overall record 10 starts 6 wins 2 seconds

·         Raced last year at minor tracks at the handicap level, this year facing some of the best

·         Earlier in her racing career, the were running her at long distances with no success then switch to 7 furlongs to 1 mile with very positive results

·         She has won on very soft going

·         Can she win the group 1 race? Will see... 

10 – Thunder Moon – Draw 7

·         She is a very frustrating horse with terrible result most of the season but

·         On the very soft going, she finished second in group 1 race at Deauville

·         Appears to like a lot on moisture in the going

·         A third last year on soft going to St Mark's Basillica

·         Was eased in one race of soft going but had all kinds of problems in the running

·         Last wasn't much better but on good going but 1 mile doesn't appear to be her distance

·         All her wins are at 7 furlongs including a group 1 win

·         Price shot 

3 – Kinross – Draw 9

·         This is another one who ran ok last out but at a distance it appears not to like at 6 ½ furlongs

·         Made a move too early to get to third then finished 5th.

·         Record at 7 furlongs 3 wins from 5 races

·         In one 7-furlong race, he finished last and after the race, the steward interviewed the assistant trainer and jockey and they said just lost all action inside. Issues where he was running in the race, or the race was just too fast for him?

·         The other failure at 7 furlongs was nothing more than the horse was out of form running at Deauville

·         Will benefited for slow going, has raced much better in those conditions

 

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