The Road to the 2021 Kentucky Derby stops at the home of the
Kentucky Derby this weekend. Churchill Downs hosts the $200,000, Grade II
Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes. The winner gets 10 Derby qualifying points, second
receives four, third earns two and fourth place is awarded a lone point.
The winner will join the likes of SITTING ON GO, GET HER
NUMBER, JACKIE'S WARRIOR and 2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile champion ESSENTIAL
QUALITY in the top five of the current standings. For those that don't find the
Churchill Downs winners' circle in the Jockey Club Stakes, another 30, US-based
Kentucky Derby qualifiers remain.
Taking home the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes crown won't be
enough to earn a spot in the 2021 KD. However, it's a good first step as five
of the past 10 winners went on to run for the roses. SUPER SAVER was the last
horse to pull off the Kentucky Jockey Club and Kentucky Derby double. He's has
the 2010 Kentucky Derby trophy on his mantle along with the 2009 Jockey Club
If SITTING ON GO (PP: 1 ML 5-1) scores today, he'll move into
sole possession of second place with 20 points. He earned the winner's 10 in
the first stop on the 2021 road to the Kentucky Derby, the Iroquois Stakes at
Churchill. Due to the pandemic rearranging the Triple Crown Schedule, the
Iroquois was run on the same September Saturday as the 2020 Kentucky Derby.
The Albaugh Family Stables' horse is the oddsmaker's second
choice at morning line odds of 5-1 with his entry mate SMILEY SOBOTKA (PP: 1A
ML 5-1). SITTING ON GO got smoked in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, finishing
ninth of 14. He never fired for trainer Dale Romans. A bad race is not uncommon
for two-year-olds as they can be unpredictable.
KEEPMEINMIND (PP: 4 ML 6/5) is the one to beat according to
his morning line favorite status. He also ran in the Breeders Cup Juvenile and
finished third, trying to go from worst to first. He started 14th of
14, giving up a whopping 17 lengths out of the gate. He rallied hard after
being bumped at the start, but just didn't have enough at the end. And that's
the problem with KEEPMEINMIND, he gets off to a slow start and tries to chase
them all down. It hasn't worked yet as he is 0 for three with the BC third and
a pair of seconds in a trio of races.
KING FURY (PP: 7 ML 6-1) also ran in the Breeders' Cup
Juvenile and finished in the middle of the pack, seventh of 14. It was the
second time he faced off with KEEPMEINMIND, ending his day well behind the
pre-race favorite both times. But... unlike KEEPMEINMIND, KING FURY knows the
taste of victory, collecting the big check in two of his four starts, both at
Churchill Downs in two outings at the Louisville track. A horse for the course?
It's our view that one of the three that ran in the
Breeders' Cup Juvenile will take home the Kentucky Jockey Club prize. They've
faced the stiffest competition by a wide margin and appear to be the class of
SITTING ON GO is our choice to wear the crown and have a
50/50 shot to run on the first Saturday of May. However, two year olds are, as
we said up top, unpredictable.
Get today's full picks for all tracks and races at Guaranteed Tip Sheet.