Horseplayers in northern parts of the country watching the
$100,000 King Glorious Stakes at Los Alamitos on Sunday might feel a little bit
jealous. Although most of the weather around the US is expected to be mild for
this time of year, it will be just about perfect at Los Alamitos Sunday
afternoon, sunny with a high around 78 degrees. It will likely be in the
mid-60s by King Glorious post time.
A group of 10 will be looking for the perfect trip in
perfect weather in the Los Alamitos ninth race on the Sunday card. Unpredictable
two-year-olds will race 1-mile on the track better known for quarter horse
racing. The field gets started with a long sprint down the front stretch in a
two-turn race that's favored outside horses that typically run mid-pack.
In the 18 races at the distance, meet to date, just one
horse found the winners' circle leaving from posts one through three, the rail
is winless. Meanwhile, the typical winner ran third at the quarter pole and
second after the first half-mile.
Playing the averages, horseplayers might look for horses
from post four and out with strong mid and late pace figures to find potential
winners. We analyzed the pace numbers and here is how the race could play out.
GOOD WITH PEOPLE (PP: 8 ML 7/2) heads to the lead out of the
gate, as he's done in four of his five starts (second in the other). Longshot
WEDDING GROOM (PP: 2 ML 30-1) rides co-pilot, pressing the pace from the inside
and trying to keep GOOD WITH PEOPLE from passing him before the fist turn.
POSITIVITY (PP: 4 ML 3-1) and ASCOT STORM (PP: 7 ML 3-1) battle for third and
fourth with the rest of the field patiently positioned to make their moves.
(Point of note, POSITIVITY is also scheduled as of this writing to run in
Saturday's Los Alamitos Futurity.)
Things don't change too much by the half. GOOD WITH PEOPLE
remains on the lead, ASCOT STORM starts to make his move, getting past WEDDING
GROOM and is neck and neck with POSITIVITY behind the leader. PLAY CHICKEN (PP:
10 ML 6-1) gets a shoutout from track announcer Michael Wrona as he joins the
The field starts to bunch up as they head for the final
turn. Longshot WEDDING GROOM starts to back up on the inside while jockey Mike
Smith readies MISTER BOLD (PP: 6 ML 5/2) to make his move out of the turn for
the second time down the front stretch.
GOOD WITH PEOPLE stays on the lead after the first 6
furlongs but his lead is shrinking with step. POSIITIVITY is to his outside but
is struggling to get by. ASCOT STORM is trying hard and Smith is gobbling up
ground on the leaders with each stride. GOVENOR'S PARTY (PP: 9 ML 50-1) starts
to make some noise as the longest shot on the board.
ASCOT STORM and POSITIVTY sneak past GOOD WITH PEOPLE in the
final sixteenth mile and both hope to have enough to beat MISTER BOLD to the
wire, but they don't. Smith and MISTER BOLD pull clear by a half-length to take
the title with ASCOT STORM and POSITIVITY in a photo for second and third. GOOD
WITH PEOPLE hangs on to cleanup the superfecta, just edging PLAY CHICKEN and
TACOFLAVOREDKISSED (PP: 3 ML 6-1).
Hopefully, our forecast is as perfect as the
weather. Well, at least for the first four.
Get today's full picks for all tracks and races at Guaranteed Tip Sheet.