HRR

PODCAST: Special Guests Katie and Trevor McCarthy

Horse Racing Radar
Rich Bieglmeier
Rich Bieglmeier is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Friday, January 8, 2021
Newlyweds, Katie Davis McCarthy and Trevor McCarthy talk about what it's like to compete on the track and horse racing's biggest controversy, coupling their entries and the impact it has on them, horseplayers, trainers and owners. 

We also make our picks for races 6-7-8 on Aqueduct's Saturday card. 



Aqueduct Race 6: $40,000 Maiden Claiming  

Shawn:

Commentary:
#5 Reticent - A lot of these horses have had plenty of chances to break their maiden and they can't get over the hump. In these types of races, you have to look at the horses that have run fewer times. That makes you look at the #4 French Toast who is debuting and the # 5 Reticent. I like the fact the #5 at least has run one race compared to the #4. In that race the #5 had a bumped start and came on to finish 4th at the end. The trainer's #'s with horses exactly like this are really good. The one that sticks out is Englehart produces 28 % winners for horses making their 2nd career maiden start. Others to use: #1 Ratify- You have to use this horse in all exotics as the horse loves to finish 2ND. The horse has 5 2nds in 9 career starts which includes finishing 2nd in all 3 of his dirt races.

#4 French Toast- As mentioned above have to use the horses with less starts and this will be his first. You have a great jockey/ trainer combo in Kendrick Carmouche and Michael Maker; workouts are decent.

Wagers:
$20 win #5
$1 Exacta Box 1,4,5
$1 Trifecta Box 1,4,5

Terry:

Commentary:
#1 - Ratify has ran second 5 out of 9 races. With Trevor in the irons Ratify should no longer be a maiden at the end of the race.

#6 – This Ill Defend is returning after a short rest. He has been working regularly for his return.

#5 – Reticent had plenty of trouble in his first race and still ran a decent 4th.

# 9- Magic Mojo has plenty of speed and has Lezcano in the irons.

Wagers:
$6 to Win #1
$1 Exacta Box- #1-5-6-9
$0.50 Trifecta 1-5-6 / 1-5-6 / 1-2-3-4-5-6-9-11  

Thomas:

Commentary:
#4 French Toast – with this group of horses, why not? Mike Maker firster with Kendrick Carmouche riding for the Repole Stable. They paid $300k and now at 4, the horse gets it's first start at $40k claimer. They gave up? Or want to get a win and want someone claims the horse. On the Dam side, she was a winner in her race career and has product 3 starters with 2 of them winning. It's a very challenging race.

Wagers:
$20 to Win #4
$1 Exacta Box 1-4-5-11

Rich:

Commentary:
The rail wins at hefty 22%. #1 Ratify should be a little closer to the front in a race without a ton of speed. He's run his best closer to the front. #9 Magic Mojo ran the top, last race speed figure and ran one of his better races off the bench, like today.

Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box 1,4,6,9
$1 Trifecta 1,9/1,4,6,9/1,4,6,9

Aqueduct Race 7: $50,000 Allowance

Shawn:

Commentary:
#2 Beaver Creek - This was a very tough call between this horse and the #9 Much Trouble. Deciding factor between the two was post position and that there is an inside bias at Aqueduct. The #2 is the most lightly raced horse in the field and if you throw out his first start his last 2 starts were good enough to win this race. Has some speed and can also close.

#9 Much Trouble- 6 out of his 11 career races has finished in the exacta, Has about the same results on the dirt and turf. What I really like is this is his return race to the dirt, and I think much improved since he last ran on dirt. This is his second start off a year and half layoff. This can be a good angle and an angle that the trainer does well at. Michael Maker hits at 33% second start off a 180+ day layoff.

#10 Jake Rocks - There is a lot of speed in this race and I think the #10 can be one that will benefit with the outside post and sitting off the speed. He finished ahead of the #2 last race so if I like the #2 you have to like the #10 as well. I think this horse should be only used in exotics more than win bets.

Wagers:
$20 Win #2
$1 Exacta 2,9/2,9,10
$1 Trifecta 2,9/2,9,10/1,2,5,7,8,9,10

Terry:

Commentary:
# 2 - Beaver Creek had a little trouble in his last race but should run well here staying close to the early speed and win at the wire.

#4- Cavaradossi is having a good year improving each of the last three races. He loves the distance and track, winning at Aqueduct at 50% clip!

# 1- Siena Magic has plenty of speed and breaks from the one hole with horses winning at a 20% clip from that post position.

# 10- Jake Rocks just missed in his last two races.

Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box- #1-2-4-10
$0.50 Trifecta 1-2-4 / 1-2-4 / 1-2-4-7-8-9-10  

Thomas:

Commentary:
There are so many horses that want the lead or will be close to pace in this race, I will take #2 Beaver Creek first time blinkers should help this horse. Maiden was a hard-fought race and last out, he had some problems and went 4 wide to get 3rd. Faces some of the same horse today and should be up in time for the win.

Wagers:
$20 to Win #2
Exacta Box 2-3-6-10

Rich:

Commentary:
You could make a case for a lot in here. #9 Much Trouble should be better in his second start following a lot of time in the barn. #1 Siena Magic likes Aqueduct with a pair or wins and seconds in five starts and offers a good price.

Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box 1,5,9,10
$1 Trifecta 1,9,10/1,5,9,10/1,5,9,10


Aqueduct Race 8: $40,000 Optional Claiming

Shawn:

Commentary:
#8 Miss Jimmy- 15 out of 17 lifetime starts she has finished in the exacta. There also seems to be a lot of speed in this race which will fit right into her style. Hard to pick against this horse. The only issue will be you will not get very good value. This would be a good horse to single for all multi race bets.

#4 Baby Boss - I was going to use her as the top pick with all the front running speed and just hope she was the speed of the peed. However, with all the speed in this race and how effective the #8 has been I couldn't put her as the top pick. I also noticed and was amazed with the stat that trainer Jamie Ness is 0 for 9 at NYRA the last 5 years.

#6 Doll- Was very hard to find another horse that was usable that didn't need the lead. This horse has speed but also has run races where it was able to sit off the speed. Has finished in exacta in 9 of 13 races.

Wagers:
$20 win #8
$1 Ex 4,8/4,6,8

Terry:

Commentary:
#6 - Doll is dropping in class and has finished 100% of the time in the money at this distance and track.

#4 - Baby Boss has plenty of early speed and has a great jockey/trainer-(Trevor McCarthy/Jamie Ness) combination in a wide open race.

#8 - Miss Jimmy has won 70% of the time at Aqueduct winning 5 out of 7 starts.

#2 - Awesome Debate is winning 44% of her starts.

Wagers:
$6 to win #6

$1 Exacta Box 2-4-6-8

$0.50 Trifecta Box 2-4-6-8

Thomas:

Commentary:
#2 Awesome Debate – love the last race laying close to the pace and losing by ¾ of a length. Second start off layoff she may have needed a race. This is a lightly racehorse at 5-year-old and should fight hard at the wire for the win.

Wagers:
$20 Win #2
$1 Exacta Box 2-6-7-8

Rich:

Commentary:
Another race where half the field can win. #2 Awesome Debate has never missed the board at Aqueduct and his hit the board in seven of eight on a fast track. #6 Doll is a nose and a ½ length away from winning three straight.

Wagers:
$1 Exacta Box 2,6,8/2,4,6,7,8
$1 Trifecta 2,6,8/2,6,7,8/2,4,6,7,8