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PODCAST: Golden Gate Picks for Saturday, Jan 30th

Horse Racing Radar
Rich Bieglmeier
Rich Bieglmeier is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Friday, January 29, 2021
As the saying goes, when life gives you lemons, turn it into Golden Gate Fields picks and maybe turn those into a Pick 4 ticket, which tastes better than lemonade.

The crew was a three-legged horse without Terry - we look forward to his return - and our scheduled guest couldn't make it. But Shawn, Thomas and Rich don't miss a beat with their picks for races 5 through 8 for Golden Gate's Saturday card.


Golden Gate Race 5: $3,200 Claiming

Shawn:

Commentary:
Top pick: #4 The Ref- Simply a pace play as I don't think there is any other horse going for the lead in here. This is also the horse's 2nd race off of a 3 month break.

#2 Crimson Cloud – The horse with the most wins in the field.  Will be close to the pace and might sit in the cat bird seat if the #4 comes back to them after setting the early pace. Will get the leading rider of the meet so far in Kyle Frey.

#1 Perfect Come Back- This horse has faced a lot better but is in horrible form right now. Maybe at this level and the inside post if they decide to send the horse maybe he competes here.

Wagers:
$20 win #4
$2 Exacta 2,4/1,2,4

Thomas:

Commentary:
#4 The Ref – this is a crazy race of non-winners in 2020-2021. I am taking the only speed I can find in the race. The Ref should have an uncontested lead, the question will be if he can hang on at the end. A controlled pace race is key to finally get a win for this horse.

#6 – Rey Coliman – drops, ok race last out. Needed the race.

#7 – Kid Arcade – Get 10 lbs off and even works for return. Put a longshot in here, why not in this race!

Wagers:
$20 to Win #4
$1 Exacta Box 4,6,7

Rich:

Commentary:
The inside four horses look about the same to me. In my opinion, putting favorites on top at this low of a level is a mistake. So, I am taking #2 Crimson Cloud. The 10-year-old (wow!) won the last time leading jockey Kyle Frey rode her, why not again?

Wagers:
$1 Pick 4 – 1,2/1,2,6/3,5,6/1,5

Golden Gate Race 6: $12,500 Claiming

Shawn:

Commentary:
#6 Awesome Amanda - Will show speed from the outside post in a short 6 horse field. Should be on the lead or right off since there are maybe 2 other horses in here that could go. This horse has loved Golden Gate so far going 2 for 2. Has had off for 3 months but has been training really good. The trainer Dan Blacker hits at 36% after a 60 + day layoff.

#1 Persuasive Lips- Another one with some speed but also could sit off the pace if need be. Looks like this horse would prefer this race to be 5 or 5 ½ furlongs not 6.  Has a high percentage jockey and a trainer who also does good with horses running the 2nd time after a break of 45-180 days hitting at 40%.

#5 Urban Diva - Has faced tougher recently and I didn't see much else in the field after the top two.  Can be close enough to the pace and get a share at the end.

Wagers:
$25 win #6
$2 Exacta Box 1,6

Thomas:

Commentary:
#6 - #1 Persuasive Lips – speed, rail and must get out because there is other speed in this race. This is the only horse that has run within the last 30 days (and won). She's back in at the same claiming prices and conditions of NW2 because of the conditions of maiden, claiming and starter races for 10k or less are not counted against the horse in this race. Very lightly raced vs the other horses in the race.

#5 – Urban Diva – drops back to a level that suits much better for this horse's form and level.

#6 – Awesome Amanda – speed should hang around for a share.

Wagers:
$20 to Win #1
$1 Exacta Box 1,5,6

Rich:

Commentary:
Although I think #6 Awesome Amanda is the best horse, the inside horses at the distance have a major edge. As such, I move Amanda behind the #1 Persuasive Lips and #2 Marjorie E.

Wagers:
$2 Trifecta 1,2,6/1,2,6/1,2,3,6

Golden Gate Race 7: $62,500 Optional Claiming

Shawn:

Commentary:
#6 American Farmer- Gets back to the synthetic after 4 races on the turf. Likes the synthetic so far in his career having run it 4 times with a record of (1-1-1). Has faced tougher than this on turf and synthetic.

#2 Lymebyrd – Had 3 consecutive runner up finishes before trying turf at Santa Anita last time out. Will return to Golden Gate and the synthetic here and has had success finishing in the exacta 9 of 14 career races at Golden Gate.

#5 Our Silver Oak- Out of everybody's last race had the highest Beyer at an 84. You get a high percentage jockey and trainer. Likes the distance finishing in the trifecta all 4 of his races.

Wagers:
$20 win #6
$2 Exacta 2,6/2,5,6

Thomas:

Commentary:
#6 American Farmer – It appears that there is speed in the race with a bunch of sit back and waiting. I went with American Farmer to sit off the lead and come on late. My concern is if the mile race is not long enough? Steve Sherman is a good trainer to make a good decision on where to place his horses some factoring this into my decision.

#5 – Our Silver Oak – good trainer and should pick up at the end.

Wagers:
$20 to Win #5
$1 Exacta Box 2,5,9

Rich:

Commentary:
on paper, it's a two-horse race between #5 Our Silver Oak and #6 American Farmer. Morning line favorite #3 King of Speed looks vulnerable as he's only raced well on turf and hasn't fired much on dirt or in his lone all-weather race.

Wagers:
$5 Exacta Box 5,6
$1 Trifecta 3,5,6/5,6/2,3,5,6
$6 Double 5/1

Golden Gate Race 8: $12,500 Claiming

Shawn:

Commentary:
#1 Discernment- Running for first time in 3 months. Making debut at Golden Gate and running for her lowest tag. Runs better on dirt then turf so hopefully that is the same on synthetic. 5 out of 10 career starts finished in exacta. Gets the inside post and leading rider Kyle Frey.

#2 Thrill's Legacy - Always gives it a honest try. Good trainer and jockey combo. Went off as favorite last time and went 3 wide in the turn and flattened out to finish 4th. Should have a better effort here 2nd start after a 3 month break.

#8 Shanghai Fantasy - The wildcard of the race. Has tons of speed but this will be her first start in 2 and half years. Has been working out really well so might be ready to go off the bench.

Wagers:
$15 win #1

Thomas:

Commentary:
#5 Say Yes Sally – ok, we have a 90plus layoff and first start with this trainer. Jonathan Wong is 30% win and 62% ITM with horses first time out when a horse switches trainer. Drops into the 12,5k NW2L level with one very nice work on January 9th of :36.4 H and then a maintenance work on January 24th. Wants the lead or will be right close.

#2 - Thrill's Legacy – beaten favorite in last, rounding to into form with ok last race.

#9 – You Wanna Ear Rip – drops and has shown she like AW surface. 5 out of 7 ITM finishes.

Wagers:
$20 to Win #5
$1 Exacta Box 2,5,9

Rich:

Commentary:
#1 Discernment has the look of a single with one of my favorite angles, dropping in class after posting the highest, last race speed figure. If not her, then #5 Say Yes Sally, #3 Silly Notion or #7 Truly Fabulous.

Wagers:
$1.5 Trifecta Key 1/3,5,7
$0.50 Trifecta ALL/1/3,5,7