Spring Fever is something many northern hemisphere people
are suffering from after a cold, dark and snowy winter. Santa Anita racetrack
reminds us that better weather is right around the corner for those of us on
the north side of the equator with the $100,000 Spring Fever Stakes. I can't
wait for shorts and a tee-shirt.
Let's see which filly or mare can't wait to find its way
into the Spring Fever's winners' circle. Seven ladies will race 7 furlongs on
Santa Anita's main track. The distance and surface favors fast senoritas with 84%
of winners considered early speed with more than a third getting home wire to
wire. Typically, the horse that grabs the checkered flag is in the first two at
the quarter pole and has taken charge after a half-mile.
One place you don't want your picks to be is on the rail.
The red 1 has failed to score in the first 38 races at today's distance on
dirt. That mean's you can probably eliminate thoughts of putting CASSIE BELLE
(PP: 1 ML 8-1) on the top of the ticket. Her dirt record is another reason to
put her aside as she has just two seconds in four starts. Her last 10 have been
on grass and trainer Sen McCarthy hasn't won this year in 16 starts switching from grass to dirt.
You might overlook HOTITUDE (PP: 2 ML 7/2) based on her last
race, finishing fifth of five and way, way back. However, a little deeper dive
and you see she was brushed at the start. So, there is that but even deeper and
wee see she ran some of her fastest fractions for the first half-mile. It's
tough to tell if the fractions or the bump were more responsible for her
backing up like Michael Jackson moonwalking.
If HOTITUDE has to run against a similar pace, it will be
thanks to SQUARE PEGGY (PP: 6 ML 5-1). For races back, she won a gate to wire
race at Golden Gate fields going out in 21 and 4 in the first quarter, then 44
and 2 at the half and winning at 1:09 and 3. That's a fairly fast race for
an $31k Allowance. That was on Golden Gate's all weather surface. SQUARE PEGGY
has not been able to repeat or even rhyme that effort in her last four on dirt.
SHE'S A DIME (PP: 4 ML 6-1) is another that might try to get
out in a hurry. For the first time in her last 10 starts, jockey Alexis Centeno
took SHE'S DIME to the front and stayed there, scoring a 7 furlong, Santa Anita
dirt win. She likes the distance and the course, hitting the board in six of at
the length and three of four at Santa Anita. Again, if you examine the numbers
a little more closely, SHE'S A DIME's times were a touch on the slow side. She
won't get off that easy here.
The longest shot on the morning line board is DR WYSONG (PP:
3 ML 10-1). She's another Golden Gate invader and spends most of her time
recently on synthetic or grass. But, you have to wonder why owner Sergio
Salguer doesn't stick to dirt. Both of her two wins were on dirt and she's
finished in the money four of six. Her dirt resume includes a win and place in
two at Santa Anita. She's a live sleeper.
HOLLYWOOD HILLS (PP: 5 ML 4-1) is undefeated in three at the
7 furlongs. Five of her six wins came on Golden Gate synthetic. The sixth on
dirt, along with a second in three fast track races. Despite that, her last
three races were bad. She looks off a step and it looks like trainer Art
Sherman is hoping that putting her back at 7 furlongs brings her back to life
on the track. Jockey Flavien Prat rode HOLLYWOOD HILLS in her last win, 7
furlongs at Del Mar. Sherman might be onto something if Prat took the mount
here, instead he's on BELLA VITA.
If BELLA VITA (ML: 2-1) is ready after nine-months in the
barn, the Spring Fever Stakes will be sevens wild. Seven horses racing 7
furlongs with number seven living the good life and collecting the winners'
check. She sat behind some fast fraction in her last race on May 16th, 2020,
took the lead in the stretch and missed by a ½ length. It was her first race on
dirt after running her first three career efforts on turf. BELLA VITA could be
pounds the best here, but her workout times have been dull for trainer Simon
We aren't going to pick a winner for you. Instead, Horse
Racing Radar will leave that to our friends at Guaranteed Tip Sheet and their
subscribers' commentary, which they were kind enough to share.
"BELLA VITA should near the front all the way around the
track. DR WYSONG has a win and place in two Santa Anita outings. HOTITUDE
throws in some good ones and bad ones, usually has trouble in the bad races,
hoping for a clean trip. SHE'S A DIME has a win, place and show in four at SA
and has hit the board in six of eight at the distance."
Get today's full picks for all tracks and races at Guaranteed Tip Sheet.