#6 Zofelle loves the distance and track. She has a great
jockey/trainer combination of Ortiz is in the saddle and Walsh Brendan is
training. She won her last race the Marshua's River a Grade-3 affair.
#2 Got Stormy has plenty of class and is a Grade-1 winner.
She has sparkling works for her 2021 bow and the best Beyer of 109.
#7 Feel Glorious is one for one at Gulfstream Park and is 12
for 18 on the turf.
#3 Vequist won the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Grade-1
race. And has never ran worse than second in her career. She has been working
well since the Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies race for her return.
#5 Millefeuille was just barely caught in her last race a
Grade-2 affair. She cuts back to a mile today which can only help.
#4 Curlin's Catch is going for a hat trip and can go on top
or come from behind.
#8 Adios Tripppi – has plenty of speed and will be in the
thick of things.
#7 Bacchanalia won easily last race out match well with this
field. She has a great jockey, Ortiz in the irons.
#6 Kalifornia Queen is a Grade-2 winner and has very good
works over turf and I take any horse trained by Chad Brown to be a serious
contestant by and in addition Tyler Gaffallione is in the irons.
#3 Antoinette was 6 out of 7 in the money last year and has
been working consistently for her return to the races.
#5– Heavenly Curlin has won 50% of her races and needed her
last race and should respond well in her second race since her layoff.
#8 Greatest Honour will need some help pace help to run his
race for his stretch run.He looks like something special and will be hard to
#2 Prime Factor should do better after her race last time.
Looks like she will get a stalking trip which will suit her.
#1 Drain the Clock has only lost one race out five that he
has entered. He has an excuse as he lost the rider when an iron broke. The only
concern is can he go the distance.
#7 Tarantino has won 50% of her races and has never finished
worse than second. He should be right there at the end.
#4 Fire At Will is going for his 4th win in a row the
Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Grade-1 race.
#11 – 2-6
#12 – 3-4-5
#13 – 3-6-7
#14 – 1-2-4-7-9
If I have to choose a single it would be #3 Vequist in the
$1 PICK 4 TICKET (RACES 11-14) 2, 4, 5, 8/ 3, 4/ 3, 5, 7,
10/ 1, 4, 8 COST $96
#2 Got Stormy- The horse with the most class and most wins
in the field. Gets a great post position and has been working out great since
last race at the Breeder's cup in November. 10 wins out of 26 career races.
Winning at 38 % lifetime I like her chances here.
#5 Bienville Street- Definitely stepping up in class but has
been running really good lately and is in great form. Should provide a decent
price as her last 2 races which she won she was 8 to 1 and 11 to 1.
#8 Jakarta- Should be the speed of the race. She typically
sprints but did run a mile one time and won that race. That was on dirt not
turf but it proved she can get the distance.
The pace of the race should favor her as I don't see many horses besides
her going for the lead. She likes Gulfstream's turf winning 2 of her 3 races on
#3 Vequist – She is the classy horse and best horse in this
field with the best jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. She has raced in 3 consecutive grade
1 races winning 2 and got 2nd in the other. She will actually face easier here
as this is a grade 2 race. Has been off for over 3 months but has been working
out really well. She will use her speed
to get a stalking trip and then track the leader from there. Would be my single
in the late pick 4 sequence if you wanted to cut the cost of the ticket in
#4 Curlin's Catch – She has really liked the surface switch
from synthetic to dirt going 2 for 2 on dirt. Only 1 bad race in her 4 race
career finishing 5th at Woodbine in her second start. That one she just had a wide trip, and
nothing left at the end. She can win on the lead or closing from mid pack.
# 5 Millefeuille – Has been right there in all of her 3
races. She's had 1 win and finished 2nd in two others where she lost by ¾ of a
length in both. Has some speed so should be sitting just off the speed.
#7 Bacchanalia- I think this horse might get the run of the
race sitting behind the pace. I think there are only about 2 horses that will
try for the lead in the race that would be #3 Antoinette and the #2 Bella
Laura. You also get the best jockey in
the world right now in Irad Ortiz Jr.
This horse has been really sharp winning 3 out of her last 5 races and
finishing 2nd by a half a length in one of those races. She had a 6th in there
but you can throw that out since that was her first race in over 6 months.
#10 Sister Hanan - Has been pretty sharp lately and working
out really well. She just had a bullet work a week ago where she was best out
of 51 horses on that day. I'm hoping she can be a little closer to the pace
than normal as I don't think there will be a ton of pace to run into. Two
starts ago finished in a dead heat with Bienville Street for the win. That
horse then went on to win her next start which was a 75k stakes race.
#3 Antoinette- Her past chance here is to go get the lead
and hope she finds herself alone. I think this is the horse that the pace of
this race will play favorably to. She is one I would use in all exotics as she
is always around at the end. She has finished in the trifecta 8 of 10 lifetime
#1 Drain the Clock- Horse for the course as he is 3 for 3 at
Gulfstream and has won all the races there by at least 6 lengths. Will be the
speed of the race and getting the rail only helps his chances getting the lead.
I like having Edgar Zayas on a horse with speed like this and so does the horse
as the combo is 3 for 3.
#4 Fire At Will- Has won 3 straight races at 3 different
tracks. Has won on turf and a sloppy race track now will try on what should be
a fast dirt track Saturday. This will be the first time he gets a jockey to
ride him for a 2nd time as Kendrick Carmouche will be back up. Carmouche won on
him 2 starts ago where Fire At Will went wire to wire over the Belmont turf
course. I would expect him to sit right off the speed possibly come out of the
gate 2nd behind top pick #1 Drain the Clock.
#8 Greatest Honour – The deserving morning line favorite
that has won his last 2 races which were at this track and distance. Beat most
of these horses in his last race in the G3 Holy Bull however my top 2 choices
were not in that race. Gets off to slow starts and closes from the back I think
that style will have a hard time working in this race.
Race #10 - #11 First Premio – yes, he has been away from the
races since July 2020 but there is one major change, he is a gelding now. Maybe
before, Team Valor thought there was some stud value? His workouts are steady
and, on both turf and dirt. This is a big drop-in class from the top end allowance
races and the grade/listed stakes races. At this distance, he is 5 Wins from 9
starts. He will become late in the race.
#10 Angelus Warrior - ran an ok last out against similar.
The prior races, he was facing stakes company and the likes of Colonel Liam.
There is a jockey change on this horse and the last time Junior Alvarado rode
this horse. Now his is riding my top choice.
#6 Almashriq – another layoff horse who won in 2020 after a
layoff at 15 to 1. The 5-year-old has raced only 8 times and I think he can be
in the money.
$20 to WIN 11
Race #11 - #2 Got Stormy – I wonder after her last race if
she would return. She is now 6 years old and her wins last season were at the
grade 3 level in sprints. The is a work on February 6th at Palm Meadows of
:57,35 breezing on the turf. I think she's still interested. The mile turf race
is bee her game with 8 wins from 17 starts. In her last 10 races, she has run
against females 5 times and faced males 5 times. I think the grade 3 level she
should handle just fine. Favorite?
#4 Ricetta – has raced only 4 times and once in this
country. She placed in a group 3 race at York and then shipped her for the now
grade 3 Saratoga Oaks. Layoff with nice works for her return.
#6 Zofelle – won a grade 3 races last time out at 1 mile.
This appears to be her racing level and should finish on the board.
$1 Exacta Box 2-4-6
Race #12 - #4 Curlin's Catch – her last 2 races, both wins
one in a listed stakes race at Tampa. Her speed ratings have been nothing
special but has been used hard in the 2 wins. She goes back to a 1 turn mile
race and has won at this distance.
#3 Verquist – she won the Breeders Cup race, she been in the
money in all of her races. My concern is that does she want 2 turn races?
#8 Adios Tripppi – she appears to be the only speed in the
race. I think she will hang on for a piece.
$20 to WIN #4
Race#13 - #6 Kalifornia Queen – Chad Brown trained German
horse ridden by Tyler Gaffallione
In her last 2 races in Europe, she ran at PairsLongChamp in
a group 1 and group 3 races and faced some very good horses. She is a group 2
winner in German. I like her works coming into this race and Chad Brown won't
place this horse in this race if she wasn't ready.
#9 – War Like Goddess – has won her first 2 races and now
steps up to face better company, well maybe, because her allowance win at
Churchill, was against a good field. This is one to watch the wagering on.
#7 – Bacchanalia – first race back from layoff, she won.
Steps up in class. Likes the track 3 starts and 2 wins and 1 place. Should be
around for a piece.
$1 Exacta Box 6-7-9
(No win bet because I never get a price on a Chad Brown
Race#14 – #6 King's Ovation – had trouble in last race and
still finished second. With room, I think he would have won. Distance and 2 turns
shouldn't be an issue with this breeding. Best work on February 29th :59.62
breezing and best work out of 42 horses going the workout distance.
#10 Papetu – he faces some of the same from the Holy Bull
and his race was better than it looks on paper. They have put this horse up
against good company and think he's good enough for a placing.
#7 Tarantino – has won or placed in his 4 races. His last
race, he ran a very good second at 26-1. Why at these odds? Because the other 3
races were on the turf. This son of Poineerof the Nile appears to like both
surfaces and I can't find a reason to leave him off the ticket.
$20 to WIN on #6
Pick4 – Cost $24
#11 – 2
#12 – 3-4-5-8
#13 – 3-4-6-7-9
#14 – 6-7-10
Race 11: 4,6,8
Race 12: 3,5
Race 13: 2,6,7,9,10
Race 14: 1,2,8
I'd love to put a ton of commentary behind my picks, but
it's been a super long couple of days. Take a listen to the podcast and you'll