Swiss Army Shawn's Selection
#1 Con Lima- She is the best horse in the race with the best
rider Irad Ortiz Jr. Also has the best pace scenario with it favoring her speed
on a speed track. With all those things
in her favor sign me up. The only issue is what price will we get? She has
finished in the exacta all 8 of her starts winning half of them. She comes back
to dirt after winning 3 of 4 races on turf.
#3 Crazy Beautiful- She will be the one coming late. I think
she gets into the exacta like she has in 5 of her 6 starts. This is her 2nd
start after an almost 4 month break.
#6 Millefeuille- She is the wildcard horse in here. She had
a great start to her career with her first 3 races. She won one and got second
in 2 other races missing out by ¾ of a length in each. Has the highest beyer 86
by any horse in this race which was 2 starts ago however she also has one of
the lowest which was her last start 48.
That race was her first in about 3 months so was it rust or is this a
Plays: $30 win #1 $2 Exbox 1,3,6
#4 Morning Molly- Has been in the exacta in 7 straight races
and hasn't lost by more then 3/4‘s of a length. I vision her being on the lead
but she can sit right off the pace as well. Has run and done well on 3
different turf curses so far. This will be her first try on Gulfstream's turf.
Doesn't matter her odds as she has won at 32 to 1 before on the turf and
finished 2nd at 11 to 1 last race.
#9 Always Shopping- She will be another one near the lead.
She loves the Gulfstream turf winning 3 of her 4 races on it. Gets leading
rider Irad Ortiz Jr. for third straight race has won the previously two.
#5 Sorrel (IRE)- Will
be looking for her 4th straight win in her first race in the US. It will also
be her first race in 5 months. She has the talent to win and might be better
then the other horses in here. I just can't make her my top pick because of the
layoff and first race in the US.
Plays: $20 win #4 $1 Exbox 4,5,9
#7 Greatest Honour- Will be one of the Kentucky Derby
favorites. He is looking for his 4th
straight win. Last start looked like he was done as he was being urged and
wasn't doing anything then all of sudden turned it on and mowed them down in
the stretch easily.
#1 Nova Rags- Lightly raced has 3 really good races and only
one bad one. I think sitting right off the pace should get a nice trip and a
nice finish here.
#5 Known Agenda- Has won 2 of 3 career races at this
distance. He gets Irad Ortiz Jr. up for second straight race. Did beat #7
Greatest Honour by a head in 2nd career start.
Plays: $10 Ex 7/1,5 $1 Tri 7/1,5,9,10/1,5,9,10
Hollywood Hay's Handicapping
#3 Crazy Beautiful is Grade 1 stakes-placed at this
distance. She is returning from the layoff and finished second in the 1-mile G2
Davona Dale despite having trouble at the starting gate loading.
#1 Con Lima is returning to the main track after campaigning
on the turf. She has finished in the money 100% of the time winning 50% of
those starts during her career.
#2 Bow Bow Girl is versatile, she can run on top or come
from off the pace. She just won at Gulfstream at this distance and can repeat.
#9 Always Shopping is dropping back a furlong to a mile and
three-eights after receiving an impressive Beyer number of 94 in the mile and
half G3 La Prevoyante. Trainer Todd Pletcher and Irad are going for 3 in a row
with Always Shopping.
#7 Delta's Kingdom encountered traffic and steadied when
finishing 2nd behind Always Shopping in the La Prevoyante.
#2 Enjoyitwhilewecan has finished second in her last two
races, improving each race. She has a good Trainer/Jockey combination of
Michael Maker and Tyler Gaffalione.
#7 Greatest Honour the son of Tapit is stretching out to a
mile and eight. He is trying to become the first horse to win the Holy Bull,
Fountain of Youth, and the Florida Derby. He will be coming from deep to win
his fourth race in a row.
#5 Known Agenda defeated Greatest Honour by a head last
November at today's distance. He likes the distance and track, trained by Todd
Pletcher and is ridden by Irad Ortiz.
#8 Soup and Sandwich has done everything asked of him
winning his first two races of his career. I think he will be definitely in the
mix as he steps up to face Grade 1 competition.
$.50 Pick 4-$94.50
#11 – 1-2-4-5-6=7-8
#12 – 1-2-3
#13 – 2-7-9
#14 – 5-7-8
Race 13-$6.00 Win #9
20 to 1 Tom's Tips
#1 Con Lima she has been running on the turf lately with
good success but her last race, she had trouble at the start. She has the speed
to get out from post 1. She has raced on the dirt 4 times with 1 win and 3
places. Top jockey in Irad Ortiz riding for Todd Pletcher trainer.
#6 Millefeuille – toss out last race, she showed some pace
and then got shuffled back. Started her racing career running at 1 mile, so
distance isn't an issue. She lost a grade 2 race to a good horse 2 starts back
with strong pace/speed figures.
#3 Crazy Beautiful will be in the money.
#10 Sister Hanan closer to the pace than past races in last
race. The trainer spaces her races greater than 30 days throughout her career,
so she has need time. She has generally laid off the pace and come on late. She
has also dealt with traffic issues and will move between horses. This lightly
race 5-year-old mare has run 8 times on the turf and won 3 times. Her record at
Gulfstream is 6 starts and 5 in the money finishes with 2 wins. The outside
post doesn't hurt her chances. Good work into this race.
#9 Always Shopping has run 4 really good races on the turf.
She's won on dirt and turf but putting blinkers on her and turf only is now her
game. I think she's the one to beat.
#1 War Like Goddess last race was better than it looks on
paper. She was rallying with her late pace. Only 3 starts, so she's still
#8 Soup and Sandwich – won his maiden state bred race with
very little effort and his next start at Tampa was an impressive up the rail
for the win. This is a very nice Florida bred out of a Tapit mare by the top
sire Into Mischief so more distance suits him. Very good work on March 12 of
47:60 breezing and then a maintenance work on March 19. Let's see what he can
do vs this group.
#7 Greatest Honor is the one to beat and will come from off
#10 Spielberg is a bit of a mystery here. Bob Baffert
doesn't normally ship horses (3-year old's) to Gulfstream so watch out.
Remember, this is no Life is Good, his top horse before injury.
Race 9 - Dubai World Cup - $12,000,000
My top choice is Magny Cours – tuned up for this race with a
win on the all-weather track at hantilly. This horse has 5 wins from 8 starts
on both turf and all-weather. He is a very adaptable horse with William Buick
riding also Godolphin owned.
Mystic Guide – very nice effort in the Razorback at Oaklawn
last time out. This horse has never been out of the money in its 7 starts.
Improving 4 year who has shown this racing ability against some of the better 3
years old's last year. Godolphin owned. Luis Saez has the mount.
Title Ready – nice win at Fair Grounds in grade 3 last time.
Dallas Steward has been on a nice roll lately and this 6 year has 25 starts
with 5 wins, 6 places and 4 shows. He didn't have a great 2020 but also faced
some of the best horses in America.
Looking for some other possible winners or placing horses in
Race 2 – Parsimony
Race 4 – Space Blues
Race 5 – New Treasure
Race 6 – Matera Sky
Not much speed here, so I believe the potential pace shape
favors and #2 BOW BOW GIRL and #1 CON LIMA. They could run one-two from gate to
wire with #6 MILLEFEUILLE and #3 CRAZY BEAUTIFUL trying to chase them down.
Wheel the 1 and 2 with the 3, 6 and maybe the 7 in exactas
Race 12: 1,2 (6 and 3 for scratches)
Race 13: 5,9 (add 7 and 8 if 9 scratches)
Race 14: 5,7,9 (10 if any scratch)
Based on the Pick 3, you already know who I like. #9 ALWAYS
SHOPPING is the horse to beat. #5 SORREL is a wildcard, but based on race
notes, I believe she'll benefit from being forwardly placed in a moderately
Wheel the 9 with the 5, 7 and 8 in exactas and trifectas.
Race 13: 5,9
Race 14: 5,7,9
I am a touch concerned after looking at the numbers that #7
GREATEST HONOUR might be a little tired. He is a young horse making his fourth
start in three-months and his final time in the Fountain of Youth was a second
slower than the Holy Bull. #5 KNOWN AGENDA and #9 COLLABORATE are going to put
GREATEST HONOUR to the test, tired or not.
Exacta Box 5,7,9