PODCAST: The Time Has Come For Showdown with TVG

Horse Racing Radar
Rich Bieglmeier
Rich Bieglmeier is a Staff writer for Horse Racing Radar
Friday, April 2, 2021
TVG's Rich Perloff joins the crew to discuss great moms, great names, great acting roles, great guitarists (you have got to hear this), great betting angles and make great picks (hopefully) for:

Aqueduct Race 8 - $150,000 EXCELSIOR STAKE – GRADE III
Aqueduct Race 9 - $250,000 GAZELLE STAKES – GRADE III
Aqueduct Race 10 - $750,000 WOOD MEMORIAL STAKES – GRADE II

TVG's Rich Perloff also shares some non-favorite plays for the Blue Grass Stakes and the Santa Anita Derby.

He and host Rich B will square off in an Aqueduct Handicapping Contest this Saturday. If Rich B wins, he'll get his shot to analyze a race live on TVG by phone. If TVG's Rich Perloff wins, the Player's Edge will send a Chicago Style Hotdog to the TVG studio so TVG's Rich Perloff can taste sweet victory.

Make sure you send your picks by Twitter to @RichPerloff. He let's us know what it takes to get a pick on air. You never know, you could become the next Terry "Hollywood" Hay!

As you can tell, it's a great show with a great guest and one that you don't want to miss.

Terry "Hollywood" Hays' Handicapping

Aqueduct Race 8 - $150,000 EXCELSIOR STAKE – GRADE III

#5 - Modernist is trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott. He registered a career-high 106 Speed Figure in a second-place finish in $100,000 Michelob Ultra Challenger Stakes (G3) at Tampa Bay.

#7 - Mr. Buffis has finished in the money 65% of the time winning 38% of those starts during his career and has accumulated over $1.3 million in earnings.

#2 - Grumps Little Tots has finished in the money 80% of the time winning 25% of those starts during his career. He likes the distance and track.

Aqueduct Race 9 - $250,000 GAZELLE STAKES – GRADE III

#8 - Search Results is trained by Chad Brown and ridden by Irad Ortiz a formable combination. She has been perfect since her debut winning both starts accumulating over $161,000.00.

#5 - The Grass Is Blue is the second starter trained by Chad Brown. She captured the mile and an eight Busanda in late January but was a non-threatening third to Search Results in the Busher.

#2 - Maracuja has finished in the money in all three of her starts, improving each race. She has Jockey Kendrick Carmouche and will be closing from far back.

Aqueduct Race 10: $750,000 WOOD MEMORIAL STAKES – GRADE II

#1 Brooklyn Strong won the Remsen (G2) on Dec. 5 at Aqueduct and has won three out of four of his career starts. He has been working well since his last start for his return.

#4 Risk Taking is going for a hat trick after winning his last two races. He likes the distance and track. He is trained by Chad Brown and is ridden by Irad Ortiz.

#2 Crowded Trade got to the lead after a poor start in the Gotham (G3), where he battled down the stretch to finish second by a nose behind Weyburn.

$.50 Pick 4-$81.00

·         #8 –   2-5-7

·         #9 –   2-5-8

·         #10 – 1-2-4

·         #12 – 1-2-7-8-9-10

Race 8-$6.00 Win #5

Race 9-$6.00 Win #8 

Race 10-$6.00 Win #1 

Swiss Army Shawn's Selections

Aqueduct Race 8 - $150,000 EXCELSIOR STAKE – GRADE III

#7 Mr.Buff- Will go straight to the lead from the outside post and not look back. Is the class of the field. He has won 17 of 44 lifetime, 10 of 20 at Aqueduct, and 11 of 17 at this distance. He is looking for his 3rd straight win.

# 4 Limonite- Just came up a half-length short to #7 Mr.Buff last race. I think it will be pretty much the same here besides I think with the pace advantage #7 Mr.Buff wins by more here.

#5 Modernist – I could see him closing and getting a share here. Has only run in 8 career races but has run against some top competition including in last year's Belmont Stakes.

Plays : $2 Tri 7/4/all $10 exacta 7/4,5

Aqueduct Race 9 - $250,000 GAZELLE STAKES – GRADE III

#4 Army Wife- Has loved the dirt the last 3 races after starting his career on turf and not doing so well. Has Won 2 out of 3 on dirt with a 2nd. Jockey Trevor McCarthy has been on a tear of late.

#8 Search Results – 2 for 2 to open his career. I'm projecting as the early leader in this race. I don't expect a fast tempo or much pressure so he should get a nice trip. Gets Irad Ortiz Jr. for the second time in his career. Beat #5 The Grass Is Blue last time out by 6 ¼ lengths.

#1 Hybrid Eclipse – I expect him to be close to the pace and get a nice trip. Has won two races in a row nicely.

Plays: $20 win #4 $1 exbox 1,4,8

Aqueduct Race 10: $750,000 WOOD MEMORIAL STAKES – GRADE II

#6 Prevalence – Has been really impressive in both of his starts and wins. Will be going another 1/8 of the mile longer but it doesn't look like that will be a problem. He has been stretching his lead even further at the finish line.  After this race he will really start getting people's attention to be on the lookout for him come Kentucky Derby day.

 #1 Brooklyn Strong- Has won 3 of 4 career starts and won the one race he had at this distance. The pace I'm projecting with a few horses going for the lead could really help this horse. Has been off for 4 months but workouts have been good, and the trainer Daniel Velazquez does well with that kind of layoff. This will be his 5th different jockeys in as many races.

#4 Risk Taking- Another horse the potential hot pace could really help. Has won 2 in a row and both were at Aqueduct and this distance. He gets Irad Ortiz Jr. aboard.

Plays: $2 Ex box 1,4,6 $1 Tri 1,4,6 $26 win #6

20 to 1 Tom's Tips and International Thoughts

Aqueduct Race 8 - $150,000 EXCELSIOR STAKE – GRADE III

#1 Haikai. This horse must not like the Florida weather or something else because 3 really awful races. Back to Aqueduct with a record of 6 starts 3 wins, 2 seconds and 1 third. There is enough speed up front for Haikai to have something to run at and the jockey change is a very positive one to Irad Ortiz, Jr.

#4 – Limonite – very good pace/speed numbers last 2 races vs some of these horses. He has not been out of the money in 2021.

#5 – Modernist – after a layoff, he ran second at Tampa in a grade 3 event. Nice tune up for this race.

Aqueduct Race 9 - $250,000 GAZELLE STAKES – GRADE III

#4 Army Wife – since taking her off the turf (3 races and ok results but no wins) and run on the dirt, she's a different horse. She had a very gutsy run last out and won by a head bobble. The 2 races before, she had to overcome problems in the running of the races to win her maiden race and finish second in the next race. The breeding says 2 turns, no problem. And I like the way she has finished races.

#8 – Search Results has run 2 races and won both, now it's the 2-turn test and she should be able to handle that, my question is where Irad will place her in the race? The one to beat.

#5 – The Grass is Blue I think her last race was too short of a distance for her. She has 2 very good efforts around 2 turns with 1 win.

Aqueduct Race 10: $750,000 WOOD MEMORIAL STAKES – GRADE II

When was the last time a Wood Memorial winner won the Kentucky Derby? Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000. We have a some very good horse run in the Wood, an example is Tapit won the Wood and finished nineth in the Kentucky Derby. So, out of this group, do we have a Kentucky Derby winner? The answer is most likely no.

#1 Brooklyn Strong he's run some nice races; he beat Known Agenda. His last race was a very game effort in the grade 3. He will sit off the pace with cover and the one post position doesn't bother me at all. I like his last 2 works coming into the race and the trainer Daniel Velazquez is very high on this horses' chances. Me too.

#4 – Risk Taking with adding blinkers, the horse hasn't lost a race yet. 2 turns have not been an issue. Should be running strong at the end.

#6 – Prevalence is the now horse and I think the one to beat in this race. Like other horses, 2 turns with his breeding isn't an issue. He's gotten 2 very good and I think easy trips in his races now let's see what happens this time around.

Blue Grass

Essential Quality is the best 3 year in training right now and the one to beat.

Santa Anita Derby


Lingfield Park Selection

Palavecino in the 4:15 (at 10:15A Central Time) Friday, April 2 at Lingfield Park

Lingfield is an all-weather track located south of England. Palavecino is a five-time winner and performs well fresh. He should be on the lead. His trainer bypassed a race last week to run here. I wouldn't take less than 15-1 on this horse.


Rich B's Picks

Aqueduct Race 8 - $150,000 EXCELSIOR STAKE – GRADE III

#7 MR. BUFF is speed, loves Aqueduct with 10 wins in 17 races and the distance with 11 wins in 17 efforts.

#1 HAIKAL rides the high win percentage rail (23%) and never missed the board at AQ with three wins, two seconds and a third in a half-dozen starts.

#4 LIMONITE just missed versus MR. BUFF in his last effort, getting off to a slow start and racing wide in the slop.

#5 MODERNIST is all or nothing at the distance with two wins in four tries, and the only two wins in his eight career starts.

Aqueduct Race 9 - $250,000 GAZELLE STAKES – GRADE III

#8 SEARCH RESULTS looks the best, only needs to answer two turns question.

#2 MARACUJA's trainer Rob Atras is sneaky good on the main track, 23% winners and nearly 63% in the money.

#5 THE GRASS IS BLUE has three wins and two thirds in six races.

#1 HYBRID ECLIPSE won two in a row including at Aqueduct on the 23% winning rail.

Aqueduct Race 10: $750,000 WOOD MEMORIAL STAKES – GRADE II

#4 RISK TAKING has answered all the questions, he can handle two turns and trainer Chad Brown hits the board at more than 70% on the main track.

#1 BROOKLYN STRONG might not be the second-best horse, but he has the best position with the 3% winning rail.

#6 PREVALENCE and #2 CROWDED TRADE will me running in their first two-turn routes. PREVALANCE has the better route pedigree.

Get today's full picks for all tracks and races at Guaranteed Tip Sheet.