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Derby Profile of Dynamic One

Horse Racing Radar
Frisco Bash
Tuesday, April 20, 2021

In this edition of our Derby Profile, we focus our attention on DYNAMIC ONE, the Todd Pletcher trainee who ranks 15th on the Derby Leaderboard with 40 total points. He's one of four Pletcher-entrants and looks to be ridden by Jose Ortiz. He'll provide great value for those backing him. In fact, HorseRacingNation recently published their Kentucky Derby Odds and he's pegged at 30-1.


Well, time will tell whether DYNAMIC ONE should be that high in odds or not. Meanwhile, we've got five reasons why he warrants a considerable look as a win contender for the Run for the Roses.


First of all, his second-place finish in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G2), where he earned all of his Derby points, puts him competitively in the mix. He beat to the wire the likes of CROWDED TRADE, WEYBURN, RISK TAKING and PREVALENCE. The replay is shown below.


 


Sure, the race had a slow final time of 1:54.4, and it doesn't look spectacular on paper. But can't we forgive it since it happened over the exhaustive Aqueduct surface? Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert's comments on the Wood Memorial come to mind:


"That track must be really deep... you can't really base what goes on there. That's not good racing" — Bob Baffert (Ron Flatter, HorseRacingNation)


Putting aside the time factors for a moment, perhaps we can appreciate how DYNAMIC ONE stepped up from a Maiden 80K race to Grade 2 company, without Lasix, and nearly won it. This colt is rapidly improving, and if he takes a step forward, he will not be far from overtaking some of his better rivals.


The second reason is that DYNAMIC ONE has a solid, routing foundation to him. Four of his five starts were around two turns and he ran well. Note that he is sired by UNION RAGS, a horse who had the stamina to win the Belmont Stakes (G1) at one mile and one-half, which could provide much needed endurance for the Kentucky Derby, especially against some of the INTO MISCHIEF speedsters who he'll have to run down. Also note: in DYNAMIC ONE's second Maiden race, which was the shortest he's ever run, he finished second to the talented GREATEST HONOUR, indicating an early developemnt of his skill. See the replay below. 


 


Notice he was quite wide entering the first turn and wide again through the backside. Yet he had enough to seize the lead at the turn, and make a race of it when GREATEST HONOUR engaged him. With a cleaner trip, he might've won.


The third reason is that DYNAMIC ONE has a reliable middle-move that can get him into contention to deliver a strong stretch run. It's a push-button acceleration that Jose Ortiz can take advantage of, even if he's got to race wide to use it. We saw it in full display in the Wood Memorial, also in his Maiden Special Weight in March, and also in his Maiden Special Weight in December 2020 against GREATEST HONOUR.


The fourth reason for DYNAMIC ONE is you'll get great value backing him in the Kentucky Derby. HorseRacingNation has him at 30-1. The Kentucky Derby Future Pool 5 did not even include him as one of the betting options. He'll be a great price, though 30-1 seems quite high for a Pletcher trainee who ran that good of a second-place finish in the Wood Memorial Stakes.


The fifth reason is summed up in two words: Todd Pletcher. We're talking about the Hall of Fame trainer who saddled two Kentucky Derby winners: ALWAYS DREAMING in 2017 and SUPER SAVER in 2010. We don't have to second-guess his ability to have his horse ready for the big day in Louisville. Note DYNAMIC ONE's recent four furlong workout at Churchill Downs on April 16th, going a sharp :48.6, the 12th fastest of 40 works at that distance. That's an improved time from his previous Belmont works, indicating his good fitness over the Churchill Downs surface.


 

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