In this Preakness Profile edition, we'll look at CROWDED TRADE from the Chad Brown barn who will break from post four. The son of MORE THAN READY has a morning-line odds of 10-1 and will be ridden for the first time by Javier Castellano.
CROWDED TRADE has just three starts to his name, all of which he finished in the money. On paper, he ran his fastest race in the Gotham Stakes (G3) at Aqueduct last March. He lost to WEYBURN by a nose, but still beat stablemate HIGHLY MOTIVATED in the order of finish.
The figures say that if CROWDED TRADE repeats his Gotham Stakes performance, it'll be good enough to win the Preakness Stakes. The replay is shown below.
CROWDED TRADE was then pointed to the Wood Memorial Stakes (G1) and was a $2.90 price to win. He made a menacing move at the turn for home, but was outfinished by BOURBONIC and DYNAMIC ONE.
Trainer Chad Brown would later comment on his colt's distance capabilities, and ultimately preferred to point him to the Preakness Stakes rather than the Kentucky Derby.
"He's got to step up off his last race and prove he can get the distance," Brown said. "In both of his last starts, as we have stretched him out, he has come up a little short through the stretch. He makes a good move and he sort of hung a little bit in both starts. The distance is definitely a question mark, but he seems like a horse that's improving."
"We specifically sat out the Derby to try to give him a little bit more time in between starts and try a slightly shorter distance than the Derby," Brown said. "As of right now, we're still following that thought process to give it a try." (BloodHorse)
CROWDED TRADE will be making his first start outside of Aqueduct. He is a $185K purchased colt by MORE THAN READY out of MAUDE S by JUMP START. Considering his pedigree, his sire MORE THAN READY was competitive in the Kentucky Derby trail but his career would later point to shorter distances.
MORE THAN READY won the King's Bishop Stakes (G1) which is run at seven furlongs. He ended his season competing in six to eight furlong races. CROWDED TRADE's damsire, JUMP START was lightly raced with only five career starts but earned his best speed figure in an 8.5 furlong race.
Even if CROWDED TRADE will have to outrun some pedigree limitations, let's not forget what we observed in the Wood Memorial. CROWDED TRADE was fanned seven-wide when he made his run turning for home. This did not help him at all and could have cost him a better looking finish. On the other hand, the winner BOURBONIC was fortunate enough to save ground at the turn before making his winning stretch run.
The horse who completed the exacta, DYNAMIC ONE, also didn't have to swing too wide, which helped sustain his late kick to secure second.
Note that both DYNAMIC ONE and BOURBONIC had at least four route races underneath them. CROWDED TRADE was only making his third start. Yet CROWDED TRADE was closing in for the second spot, however mildly.
With the two route experiences underneath him, and with a cleaner, ground saving trip, CROWDED TRADE could have a serious say in the stretch. He deserves the optimism for his improvement. If he repeats his Gotham Stakes effort, he's all the more dangerous. Note also that Javier Castellano and Chad Brown approach the task winning at a 13% rate together.