Sara and AJ from the Triple Clowns join The Player's Edge - minus Terry "Hollywood" Hay and 22 to 1 Tom. Together, we talk about UFOs. The line is set to 1:1 that the US Government says they exist when the report is released on June 1st.
They wonder what horse racing at Monmouth Park is going to look like with riders not allowed to use a whip in non-emergency situations. And then onto another confusing issue, Lasix, some races it's allowed and some it's not, at the same track. It makes no sense. AJ has a great solution, in our opinion.
Pick 4 Tickets:
"Hollywood" Hays' Handicapping
#4 Spanish Loveaffair and #6 Postnup will go to the front #9 Saranya
will stay close to the pace and catch the leaders down the stretch. I think #7
Gam's Mission and #2 Munnyfor Ro will close at the end and get into the
#9 - Saranya during her career has finished in the money 85%
of time, winning 29% of those entries. She is trained by Brad Cox and Florent
Geroux is in the irons. She can run on top or close from behind which is an
angle I like!
#7 – Gam's Mission is going for a hat trick. She likes
Churchill Downs and just won here, she is stretching out to a mile and an
eighth, but I think she may handle the added distance.
#2 – Moneyfor Ro just missed closing for the win at a mile
and a sixteenth and the added distance to a mile and an eight is where she last
showed she can win.
#4 – Spanish Loveaffair steadied in her last start and lost
all chance. She has run against tougher company and while doing so has earned
the fastest turf speed of today's entries.
Race scenario: #6 Hello Hot Rod will rush to
the lead and try to go all the way. # 5 Fulsome and #2 will be in mid pack and
close and try to catch the leader at the end. I think #8 Game Day Play will
close from deep and get into the exotics.
#5 – Fulsome performed well at today's distance winning
easily. He is trained by Brad Cox and Florent Geroux is in the irons. He
another entry today going for a hat trick, and I think he will accomplish that
#2 – Helium has won three out of four starts in his career
only missing in the Kentucky Derby. He is trained by Mark Casse and ridden by
Julien Leparoux. He has the best speed rating at today's distance.
#8 – Game Day Play had trouble in his last race and still
ran a good 3rd. He will be closing at the end.
#6 – Hello Hot Rod comes in from Pimlico to try his hand
against tougher competition. He has early speed which should benefit him in
There is plenty of speed in this race and several horses will try for
the lead. #1- Haunt will stay close to the leaders and let them set a fast pace
and will move coming into the stretch. #8-Mojo Man will stay back during most
of the race and close from deep.
#1 – Haunt just keeps improving every race. He couldn't
quite hold the lead in his last race, but today is a bit shorter which plays
right into his wheelhouse.
#5 – Empire of Gold has the best dirt speed of all the
starters in today's race. During his career he has finished in the money 86% of
time, winning 33% of those entries.
#3 – Bango drops in class today and returns to Churchill
Downs where he excels, finishing six out of seven times in the money winning
four of those starts. He also performs well at today's distance.
#8 – Mojo Man drops
in class and is at a distanced that he has won 41% of his starts.
#4 Ramsey Solution, #5 Pioneer Spirit and #9 Gray's Fable will go to the
front. #7- Logical Myth will stay close to the leaders and let them set a quick
pace and will move coming into the stretch.
#8-Set Piece will stay back during the race and close from deep with a
rush to win!
#8 – Set Piece just won at a mile here at Churchill Downs
and stretches out in today's contest. He has a good Trainer/Jockey combination
of Brad Cox and Florent Geroux.
#4 – Ramsey Solution has rested since November 13th but has
been working out steadily. He has shown in the past that he performs well after
taking a break, winning his first race back after a rest. In addition, he has
the highest average money won per race of all the entries.
#9- Gray's Eagle - During his career he has finished in the
money 75% of time, winning 33% of those entries. He has several sharp workouts
recently and has a lot of early speed.
#7 – Logical Myth has
the fastest Turf Speed of all of today's starters. He has raced 21 times
winning 33% of those starts.
Play: $.50 Pick 4-Cost: $96.00
2, 4, 7, 9
2, 5, 8
Race 10: 1, 3, 5, 8
Race 11: 4, 7, 8, 9
22 to 1
Race 8 – The Regret – Grade 3
#5 – Barista – will be sitting behind the leaders waiting to
make her move. Midpack last time out and got up for second. Will win here.
#4 – Spanish Loveaffair – not the best of trips last out.
Better trip, better results tonight
#7 – Gam's Mission – 2 wins and 1 second, steps up in
company here. Should be close to the pace. The trainers record for graded
stakes races is 30 starters, no winners and 27% in the money finishes. Win?
Race 9 – Matt Winn – Grade 3
#1 – Ready to Pounce – should show speed here, steps up and
the owners want to see what they have. Ok work of 1.00 b and last out win at
Keeneland. Lots of trouble in his first start.
The last he showed some late kick to draw away.
#7 – Sittin on Go – will be coming on late in the race to
pickup a share.
#8 – Game Day Play – will need to establish early position
to have a chance. If he does, he may win.
Race 10 – Aristides – Listed Race (good field of horse,
maybe grade 3 in the future)
#5 – Empire of Gold – played try and catch me last out at
Oaklawn. It worked. Repeat winner for me.
#9 – Sir Alfred James – showed his stuff last out vs lesser
company. He will sit behind the leader and maintain position.
#8 – Mojo Man & #10 – Tap It to Win – I really couldn't
pass on these 2 horses. I like them both to be around at the end with maybe a
little favoring Mojo Man.
Race 11 – Overnight Race
#8 – Set Piece – will be flying at the end. Just need pace
to run at.
#9 – Gray's Fable – speed from the outside to get caught by
my top choice at the end.
#4 – Ramsey Solution – as on the pace, if not the leader
most of the race to get caught at the end. Hang around for a placing spot.
Race Summary: Looks like the #6 Postnup or #9
Saranya will go for the lead. The #9 is multi dimensional but with the outside
post I think he will try to go to thefront. The #4 Spanish Loveaffair and #5
Barista will be sitting right behind theleaders. The rest of them will close
from the back. I'll take the speed of the #9 Saranya and two closers the #7
Gam's Mission and #8 Flown to get thru the first leg of the pick 4.
#7 Gam's Mission- Has run really well in all 3 career
starts. Two of those came at Churchill on the turf and she has a win and a
second. I like everything about this horse besides that the trainer Cherie DeVaux
has 0 winners in 30 graded stakes attempts.
#9 Saranya- Like that this horse is multi-dimensional. I
think she goes for the lead from the outside. Unlike the #7 this horse has Brad
Cox who hits at 25% in graded stakes. Also, Florent Geroux has had plenty of
wins in graded stakes as well. She has been in the exacta 4 or 5 starts on the
#8 Flown- Just lost to my top pick #7 Gam's Mission by a
neck last time out. She has finished in the exacta 4 of 5 starts which all came
on the turf. Am a little concerned that the horse seems to like to finish 2nd
as she did in 3 of her starts.
#4 Spanish Loveaffair- Gets Tyler Gaffaloine back aboard.
She did not get a good trip last time out in the Grade 2 Appalachian. Will go
back down to a grade 3 race and she is undefeated in races that aren't a Grade
1 or Grade 2.
RACE SUMMARY: The #6 Hello Hotrod should get
the lead here. The other two horses that could go or just sit off the pace
would be the horses on the inside #1Ready to Pounce and #2 Helium. I think
Helium gets a real nice trip in here and wins.
#2 Helium- Won his first 3 races of his career then went to
the Kentucky Derby and finished 8th. It wasn't a horrible run for being 38-1
and there being 19 horses in the field. I like the fact that Julien Leparoux
gets on him again here after riding him in the derby. Pace should favor him to
as he will be really close to the lead from the beginning and fractions
shouldn't be too fast.
#5 Fulsome- Is another one out of the Brad Cox barn that
will be ridden by Florent Geroux. He has been in great form winning 3 of 4
races this year. He ran his first 4 career races on turf before coming off the
turf for his 5th start due to rain. He looked impressive and won in
the slop easily. His next start was on a fast dirt track and he won again. He
should be another one that can sit right off the pace.
#3 O Besos- He is the other one coming out of the Kentucky
Derby. I liked this horse in the derby to finish in the exotics and he finished
5th. Was a good run at 41-1. In here, I'm not sure if the pace will be fast
enough for him but I do have to use him as far as class goes.
RACE SUMMARY I see a lot of speed in this one. I could see
as many as 6 horses go to the lead or be right on the pace. I like a couple of
those horses #10 Tap It to Win for the fact he doesn't need the lead but can be
to the outside of it all and Tyler Gaffalione can decide what to do from there.
#10 Tap It to Win- I really like this horse as he's the
class of the field. Last race was on Kentucky Derby Day in the Churchill down
stakes. He actually went off as the favorite in that race but got caught up in
a contested pace and tired badly that day. Flagstaff won the race. He has had 3
starts at Churchill and only has a show in those starts. Those races were
longer than this one. In here he shortens back to 6 furlongs a distance he is 3
for 3 at.
#8 Mojo Man- I was looking for a horse that could close into
a fast pace and I settled on this horse. He likes the distance winning 7 of 17
races at 6 furlongs. The most experienced runner in the field running 26 times.
#5 Empire of Gold- Very fast might be the one who ultimately
gets the lead. Likes the six furlong distance finishing in the exacta in 4 of 6
career starts at the distance. David Cabrera who is a good speed jockey, is on
him for the 3rd straight race.
RACE SUMMARY: There could be 3 horses battling it out for
the lead here #4 Ramsey Solution, #5 Pioneer Spirit, and #9 Gray's Fable. Out
of that group I like the #9 Gray's Fable to have the best shot to win. A bunch
of horses will be coming from well of the pace in this one including Ml
favorite #8 Set Piece.
#9 Gray's Fable- Has a bunch of speed and is 4 for 10 on
turf lifetime. Will be his 3rd start after a 6 month layoff. Has
been working out great since the last race a month ago where he led most of the
race and then faltered to finish 3rd.
#8 Set Piece- He is the one who ran down #9 Gray's Fable
last race. He will look to run down the speed again from the back. He has won 2
of 3 career races on Churchill's turf course. That great combination of
#4 Ramsey Solution- He has a lot of speed and loves
Churchill. He is 2 for 2 on Churchill's turf and he also won his last race
which was at Churchill and taken off the turf . He wins half his races on the
turf 3 of 6 and half at the distance 2 of 4.
Churchill Downs Race 8 - $150,000 REGRET STAKES – GRADE
8 – Flown - appears to improve from race to race and should
be in top form in her third start after six-months in the barn.
4 - Spanish Loveaffair has four good races out of four. At
her best, she could make it look easy.
7 - Gam's Mission won her last two by a neck and has a win
and place in two Churchill races.
5 – Barista has the highest, last race speed number.
Churchill Downs Race 9 - $150,000 MATT WINN STAKES –
5 - Fulsome has won three of his last four and is yet to run
a bad race.
3 - O Besos had better success in the Kentucky Derby than
HELIUM, don't see that changing today.
2 – Helium could lead gate to wire.
8 - Game Day Play might have beaten top pick in their last
start, but the jockey lost the whip.
Churchill Downs Race 10 - $150,000 ARISTIDES STAKES
9 - Sir Alfred James just ran his fastest race and could be
better in third start off the bench.
5 - Empire of Gold ran the top, last race speed figure with
some of his fastest fractions.
3 - Bango has won four of six at the distance.
10 - Tap It to Win is the class here, but his last race was
without Lasix (like today) and he just stopped, concerned he does the same
Churchill Downs Race 11 – $110,000 DOUGLAS PARK STAKES
8 - Set Piece has been running his best since switching back
to jockey Florent Geroux.
4 - Ramsey Solution is two for two at Churchill and tends to
run well fresh.
3 – Parlor consistently makes big middle moves and at can
follow it ups with some of the best late numbers too.
9 - Gray's Fable has proven he can maintain speed without
Lasix, a question mark for others.