Royal Ascot – Friday June 18th
We are moving right along through the Royal Meeting at Ascot!
On Friday June 18th, Day 4, the fractions quicken and the tempo picks up. We'll see shorter distance specialists, ranging from 4F to 8F, top sprinters and milers with tremendous late kicks all the same. Here's the upcoming schedule:
2:30 pm - Albany Stakes
3:05 pm - King Edward VII Stakes Stakes
3:40 pm - Commonwealth Cup
4:20 pm - Coronation Stakes
5:00 pm - Sandringham Stakes
5:35 pm - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
6:10 pm - Palace of Holyrood Stakes
Watch the video below and join us on the inside where we discuss our Day 4 insights.
22 to 1 Tom's International Tips
The Albany Stakes (Group 3) 2 fillies Six furlongs
6 - Flotus - $125k purchase had a nice winning run at Goodwood. The trainer was very pleased with the run and win and felt that this race was the right spot. The winning effort looked effortless she ran after the pace. She's a speedy filly who should sit on the lead or very close. The closing kick is a winning one?
8 - Hellomydarlin – close to the pace in her first race, when asked to go, she did. Out stayed her main rival for the win. This is a hot trainer/stable with 2-year-old right now. One comment line stated "extraordinary season". This fillies' family are mainly sprinters and beyond 7 furlongs is questionable but that's not an issue her because this is a 6-furlong race. She raced 6 furlongs last time and should be on or near the pace for a strong finish. Winner? Maybe at a price of 15-1?
5 – Eve Lodge – a winner last out at Lingfield in class 5 race, she was the favorite 4/7 and looked much the best. She raced at Ascot on May 7 in a maiden race finishing third with a nearest finish comment but had traffic issues. She needed her first race. A $12,5k purchase was thought to be Royal Ascot bound after her win. Her dam has produced 2 winners and she's bred to be a sprinter.
The King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) 3-year-old colts & geldings One mile, four furlongs
7 - Title – Roger Varian trained horse who has run 3 races only and all at 1 mile or greater. With 1 win and 2 seconds, he's 2 seconds were loses of a neck and head. His last race he drew clear and won by 1 ¼ lengths. Ok, 2 of these races were maidens' events and the other a class 4 but he has shown that he's a fighter. The jockey comment was that he's the improving type. He will have to really step up here. Maybe at a price? Maybe.
8 - Yibir – overall good runs but only 2 wins from 7 starts. He tried group 3 and was almost there but caught late. Used cheekpieces in that race and it was an eventful race when he drifted out, he may have not liked the track/turf that day. His other races vs. listed horses were a fourth and a second (he was no match of the winner). Winning the race, no, I feel that he will place in this race.
3 – Belloccio – two winning efforts as a 2-year-old and then 2 starts in group company as a 3-year-old have been less than wonderful with a 8th and 5th finishes. The comments were less than stellar. So, there is lots of room improvement and in this race, why not? The trainer has 2 winners for 18 starters in the last 14 days the stable has been improving. Ok, this is a big price horse, but I think he's better than the record indicates.
The Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) 3 colts & fillies Six furlongs
13 - Campanelle – four runs and 3 wins (one at Royal Ascot) and a 4th place finish in the Breeder's Cup. The team of Wesley Ward and Frankie Dettori have won in UK group 2 and France group 1. Works up to race have been even and she's handled layoff before.
21 - Suesa – this French filly comes into the race undefeated all her races at Chantilly. Her last 2 races were beating group 3 at 5 ½ furlongs and 6 furlongs. Her speed number have improved in all her races.
18 - Miss Amulet – was awful in last race at the Curragh. Finishing 13th out of 14th. I am tossing this race out because she shown as a 2-year-old what she can do. She's had runs in Ireland, UK and US with third place finish at Keeneland Breeder's Cup. I think moving back in distance is the right move. Much better chances here.
The Coronation Stakes (Group 1) 3 fillies Mile Old Mile
9 - Potapova – has won her first 2 starts at 7 furlongs. The comment line states "impressive" both races. They raced her in November, she was not bet heavily at 5-1. Next time out at Redcar, she was the 1/5 favorite. She is a May foal, so that maybe part the reason they waited for her first. Breeding indicates to me that 1 mile maybe the farthest distance this filly will want to go only one of the dam's offspring has gone and won over 1 mile. The sire was a 6-furlong specialist. She will be the favorite.
6 - Mother Earth – After her win in 1000 Guineas, she raced at Paris Longchamp, she finished a good second going a mile with a good draw. Since her maiden, she's run-in only group or graded races with 1 win in a group 1 and 1 win in a group 3. Traveling to Keeneland for the Breeder's Cup, she ran second. She was dropped back in that race then finished well to close with a very quick final quarter but had no chance of catching the winner. This is a filly who needs to finish strong and taking her back and make one run makes sense to me. There is pace her to allow her to out finish this group.
4 - Flirting Bridge – this is my price play horse. She ran in a group 3 last out in Ireland and finished second, not getting to the winner. She was 50-1 that day for her first try in group 3 company. Steps up her at the distance that suits her. The listed race she ran in after her maiden win on the all-weather was too much to ask of her. Her other sibling won at over 1 mile, so maybe as she improves. The trainer Henry De Bromhead in the last 14 days is 13 for 49 so winning at a 27% rate. Yes, this horse will have to run the race of her lifetime so far but she's takes anything from the last race, she can compete here.
Sandringham Stakes – 33 starters
6 – Create Belief
24 – Beheld
30 – Mirage Mac
20 – Far Hope
7 – Star of Emaraaty
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes – 19 starters
1 – Alounak
18 – Valyrian Steel
2 – Zabeel Champion
15 – Grand Bazaar
8 – Scarlet Dragon
Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes – 25 starters
6 – Warrior Brave
7 – Boomshalaa
16 – Dream Composer
24 – Fantasy Master
8 - Significantly
9 - Hello You
6 - Flotus
8 - Hellomydarlin
12 – Prettiest
1 - Gear Up
2 - Alenquer
4 - Gloucestershire
5 - Tasman Bay
21 - Suesa
3 - Dragon Symbol
11 - Supremacy
13 – Campanelle
10 - Pretty Gorgeous
6 - Mother Earth
2 - Empress Josephine
1 - Alcohol Free
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