22 or is it 53-1 Tom's International Tips
We don't have the final entries/draws yet so, we may have a few selections that may be non-runners. If you decide to make a wage, go by name and not number. We try.
Haydock – Saturday, July 3 – Lancashire Oaks Group 2 for 3 years old's and up – distance of 1 ½ miles. Surface is rated: Good
1 – Alpinista – A nice seasonal debut at Goodwood last out with a win vs. 3 other horses. She broke slow, tracked the leaders and the jockey got after her with 3 furlongs left in the race. She had a battle with rival at 2 furlongs and lead in the final strides. This is a useful race for me being a small field, she got some out of her first race of the year. She has finished second to Love in a Group 1 and second at the Group 3 level. Time for a Group 2 win?
9 – Mystery Angel – should be the favorite, finishing second to Snowfall in the Epson Oaks (no one was close to Snowfall). She's won at short distances as a two-year old and showed some liking for the soft or heavy ground. If she runs her race, she's gets a group 2 placing at least.
4 – La Lune – won her last 2 races, one at Haydock a group3. She is stepping up in company, but she's may have turned the corner on running her best. She is running her best numbers, ever. Her shorts distance she run is 1 ¼ miles to over 1 ½ miles. Adds weight because of age and the wins but is in such great form. One negative to mention is Henry Candy had not won a race in the last 14 days with 17 runs.
Sandown – Saturday, July 3 – Coral-Charge Group 3 for 3-year-olds and up – distance is 5 furlongs. In this race, we do have the draws. Surface is: Good to Soft
10 – Happy Romance – not much at Royal Ascot or Newbury in his last 2 starts. A win in a lesser race in April. So why do I like him? They are dropping him to a shorter race. Why, he is 2 wins from 4 races at 5 furlongs winning a maiden and a win at Newbury vs 24 horses (he was the favorite). He's won at 6 furlongs three times at lower levels, but I think at group 3 at this distance is possible. In his last race, he was held to the rear to start, made up some ground and in touch with the leaders at the 2-furlong marker the weakened to finish. Look for a good effort here. He gets in light in here with favorable weight to carry.
3 – Arecibo – ran a top race, last out vs Oxted at Royal Ascot at 28-1. If he can come close to repeating that race, he could win. He's won 2 handicaps this year and lost both group races attempt. Look for a good effort here.
4 – Come From The Dark – three good efforts this year with a win, second and third in handicap and group 3 company. He just failed in his last attempt and was at bit "stuck" with 1 furlong to go. He was getting to the leader at the end. Better trip, better result. A placing is going to happen, and he may well win here.
Sandown – Saturday, July 3 – The Coral Eclipse Group 1 – Distance of 1 ¼ miles with only 4 runners. This is a jockey's race.
2 - Mishriff – has won in France, Dubai and on the dirt/sand in Saudi Arabia beating 2 of the USA best at the time. His lost in October was to Addeybb at Ascot in a group 1. It took him 3 races to win his maiden but the only lost since was an 8th finish. One comment I read was he was too "keen" early in the race. They gave him a break then a win in Saudi Arabia. He's the one to beat here.
1 – Addeybb – has beaten my top choice and has 12 wins from 22 starts. Another world traveler who recently won in Australia group 1 with a second in his other attempt. He lost to Verry Elleengant, a top-class mare in Australia who is being considered for the Arc in October. He's going to give the top choice all he can handle.
4 – St Mark's Basilica – will try older horses for the first time after winning the French Derby. His 2-year running's were at 6 or 7 furlongs and then he made his seasonal debut at 1 mile with a win. Breeding shows his other offspring have run short or long but no winner past 1 ¼ miles. In form and will give the top 2 a good run.
Saint-Cloud – Sunday, July 4 – The Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud Group 1 – distance of 1 ½ miles. I don't have the "official" entries yet but here goes. Surface is rated: Very Soft
In Swoop – top class French runner who races at 1 ½ miles and wins beating some of the top horses in Europe. In his last 6 races, his record is 3 wins and 3 seconds. This year, he lost his first start then 2 wins. The negative with this horse is that he has placed in group 1 races but no wins. This time?
Baron Samedi – name is great because is Haitian voodoo evil. Well, the evil with this horse is that it's first five races, the horse didn't nothing in terms of running. In August 2020, he was gelded and hasn't lost since. 7 wins in Ireland, USA, & France at distances of 1 ¼ miles to 2 miles. He's run on good to heavy tracks. He's last effort was at Belmont in one of few 2 miles races here and it's a grade 2 to boot. Now steps up to group 1 company, let's see what he's got.
Broome – Aiden O'Brien is Broome. He's won in England and Ireland but no group 1's. Last out, he lost to Wonderful Tonight in a group 2 at Royal Ascot, he was no match for the winner. He has run 14 times in stakes races and won 5 of them with placings in 4 others. He's in form but can he beat some of the best racing here?
1 - Alpinista
2 – Bharani Star
9 – Mystery Angel
6 – Tribal Craft
1 - Lazuli
4 – Came From The Dark
3 - Arecibo
9 – Atalis Bay
The Coral Eclipse
4 – St Mark's Basilica
1 - Addeybb
2 - Mishriff
3 – El Drama
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